Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
2 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
3 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
3 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 22%
5 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
6 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
7 SONG Austin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 13%
8 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
9 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
10 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 58%
11 WANG Winston 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 11%
12 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 38%
13 MOE Annan 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% -
14 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 7% -
15 MAHRAN-GALINDO Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 35%
16 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26% 3%
17 TANG Albert 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 12%
18 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
19 PAN Henry 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 13% 1%
20 QUINTERO Julian 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% - -
21 GUTH Joseph 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
22 HUTH Trevor 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
23 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 22% 2%
24 TANG August L. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
25 KOE Beckett 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
26 DHOKTE Neev 100% 100% 94% 62% 21% 3%
27 PARRISH Evan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
28 ZOU Yuming 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 3% -
29 LI Lianhan 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1% -
30 TANG Alexander L. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
31 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
32 LUAN Tian 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
33 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 93% 67% 24% 3% -
34 WANG Brayden 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
35 JIANG Bowang 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
36 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 98% 79% 39% 8%
37 SEMP Iain 100% 98% 85% 48% 13% 1% -
38 ZHANG Alex 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
39 RILEY Colin T. 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
40 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3% -
41 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
42 LU Nathan 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% - -
43 SINGU Dhruva 100% 33% 5% - - - -
44 YU William 100% 84% 28% 4% - -
45 PAN Edwin 100% 98% 78% 35% 7% 1% -
46 KIM Chaevin 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
47 DEMIR Omer 100% 88% 49% 13% 1% - -
48 CAO Vincent 100% 34% 5% - - - -
49 HE Kyle 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
50 BOWLES K 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% - -
51 LEE Ethan 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
52 MACKAY Ian 100% 33% 3% - - -
53 SHAW Spencer 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
53 ZAIDI Adil 100% 98% 49% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.