Event Results

Senior Mixed Épée

Arnold Mercado ClassicSurprise Map

Saturday, December 4, 2021 at 1:00 PM Phoenix Fencing Academy · Tempe, AZ, USA

23 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	MCMANUS Farran	V V V V V	V V V V	4.0	5	+1.0
2	FOWLER James A.	V V V V V	V V V D	3.8	5	+1.2
3	CARTER Austin L.	V V D V V	V V D	3.6	4	+0.4
3	GROOM Layne	V D V D V	V V V D	3.1	3	-0.1
5	THORNE Casey B.	D V V V V	V D	3.5	4	+0.5
6	POPPRE Michael N.	D V V V V	V D	3.4	4	+0.6
7	KING Charles M.	V V V D V	V D	3.1	4	+0.9
8	RITCHIE Phillip	V D V V	V D	3.1	3	-0.1
9	GOING Nicholas (Nick) S.	V V V V D	D	4.0	4	-
10	GARDEA Adam	V V D V	D	1.3	3	+1.7
11	THOGERSEN Eric J.	D V V D	V D	2.3	2	-0.3
12	FESTIN Michael G.	V D D V D	V D	1.0	2	+1.0
13	PARKER Lane S.	V D D D	V D	1.8	1	-0.8
14	MUNOZ Humberto	D D D D V	V D	2.3	1	-1.3
15	RITCHIE Allison	D V D D D	V D	2.2	1	-1.2
16	GREGER Jack	D D D D D	V D	1.2	0	-1.2
17	MUNOZ Andrea H.	V D V D V	D	2.7	3	+0.3
18	LAURSEN Logan	D V D V D	D	1.1	2	+0.9
19	ZANETTA Pierre-Marie	D D V D	D	1.5	1	-0.5
20	CUEVAS Tom	D D V D D	D	1.6	1	-0.6
21	CONWAY Collin	V D D D D	D	1.2	1	-0.2
22	SELDES Mason	D D D V D	D	1.6	1	-0.6
23	WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M.	D D D D D	D	1.8	0	-1.8

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!