Arnold Mercado Classic

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 4, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MCMANUS Farran - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
2 FOWLER James A. - - 6% 28% 45% 20%
3 CARTER Austin L. - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
3 GROOM Layne - 5% 21% 39% 28% 6%
5 THORNE Casey B. - 1% 11% 34% 41% 12%
6 POPPRE Michael N. - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13%
7 KING Charles M. - 4% 20% 41% 30% 5%
8 RITCHIE Phillip - 4% 19% 42% 35%
9 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. - - 3% 21% 47% 28%
10 GARDEA Adam 20% 40% 29% 9% 1%
11 THOGERSEN Eric J. 2% 17% 40% 35% 6%
12 FESTIN Michael G. 32% 42% 20% 5% - -
13 PARKER Lane S. 7% 30% 41% 20% 3%
14 MUNOZ Humberto 3% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
15 RITCHIE Allison 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
16 GREGER Jack 16% 52% 27% 5% - -
17 MUNOZ Andrea H. 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
18 LAURSEN Logan 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
19 ZANETTA Pierre-Marie 11% 40% 36% 12% 1%
20 CUEVAS Tom 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
21 CONWAY Collin 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
22 SELDES Mason 9% 38% 38% 13% 1% -
23 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 8% 32% 40% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.