The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

NEUSFA Jack Norton Hangover Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 6, 2021 at 3:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HANSEN Jonas B. - - - - 1% 14% 86%
2 GOHEL Dayus T. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
3 WU Joseph - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
3 DI TELLA Isabel - - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
5 SHAH Maximilian A. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
6 INSLER Ethan C. - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
7 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
8 LANGTON Sawyer - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
9 LUO Ashley 1% 13% 31% 33% 17% 5% -
10 SIMPSON Patrick - 2% 11% 32% 38% 15% 1%
11 JIN Owen - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
12 FELDMAN Jaemin - - 4% 20% 42% 31% 2%
13 SPRINGER Michael 7% 30% 40% 19% 4% - -
14 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
15 MACNEILL Owen 6% 27% 42% 21% 3% - -
16 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
17 SIDDIQUI Humza K. - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
18 CHOI Mason 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3% -
19 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
20 HERMANSON David B. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
21 WU Jonathan 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
22 LONADIER Keira 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
23 PAHLAVI Kamran 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
24 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
25 RYE Wiliam 13% 37% 34% 14% 2% - -
26 FENG ge - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7% -
27 SHU Youshan 10% 35% 37% 16% 2% - -
28 ZHANG William 2% 57% 35% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.