The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing ROC/VET/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, September 4, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Ontario, CA - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Eric Y. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
2 HOLZ William A. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 6%
3 JEFFORDS Alexander - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
3 XU William - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
5 YANG Ziyi - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
6 REYES Xavier M. - - 2% 17% 50% 31%
7 HOLZ Daniel - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
8 GHAYALOD ansh - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
9 STONE Esmond A. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 4%
10 SWORDS Evan F. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
11 JIANG Anthony - - 1% 13% 46% 40%
12 RHEE Ethan N. - 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
13 KOTOV Leonid - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
14 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 2% 17% 41% 32% 7% -
15 JINICH Ilan R. - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
16 BAUER Hank E. - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
17 VO Minh Q. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
18 AVAKIAN Alec - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
19 LO Konnor - 2% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
20 LIM William J. 1% 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
21 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 16% 39% 32% 12% 2% -
22 XU Andrew 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 7%
23 CAISSE Simon B. 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% -
24 COVINGTON Max G. - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
25 WONG James T. 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
26 QIU Nathan - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
26 KORINTH Alexander J. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
28 RAMANAN Jaisimh 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
29 BYON Adrian 22% 46% 26% 6% 1% - -
30 BULL Anderson - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
31 KIM Andrew H. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
32 LIU Christopher X. 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 7% 1%
33 REED Samuel J. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
34 RAMANAN Govind 3% 30% 41% 20% 5% - -
35 BYON Julian 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
35 LEITH Jack 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
37 CHANIN Liam R. 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
38 RAJAN Advait 2% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
39 CHAN Aidan 2% 15% 40% 35% 8% 1%
40 CHANG Colin S. 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
41 YANG Dylan 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
42 ZHANG Yankun 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
43 TUNG Ryan 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
44 WOO Brian 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% - -
45 KIM Evan 64% 32% 4% - - - -
46 KROON Lucas 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
47 GIANETTO Ethan K. - 2% 12% 34% 36% 14% 1%
48 CASSIM Shayan 6% 28% 41% 20% 4% - -
49 LIN Daniel 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
50 GILSHTEYN Jacob 23% 46% 25% 5% - -
51 PADOS Tamas 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
52 LO Andrew T. 6% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
53 TAYLOR Christopher 12% 42% 34% 11% 2% - -
54 MENDOZA Noah 79% 20% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.