May NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, May 8, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIANG Connor - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
2 LINSKY Matthew - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
3 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 SOHN Kevin J. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
5 WILSON Jude - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
6 KIM Andrew H. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
7 NOBLE Daniel - 2% 10% 31% 40% 18%
8 RAJA Arnav - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
9 DHINGRA Gian K. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
10 KIM Avery J. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
11 JI Cody Walter - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
12 HAMMERSTROM Jared - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
13 LUKASHENKO Darii - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
14 JARAMILLO Tobias L. - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
15 SKINNER Graham B. - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
16 BERMAN Luca - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
17 JEAN Noe T. - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
18 WIND Nicky E. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
19 DODRILL Grant - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
20 BULL Anderson 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
21 RIGHTLER Samuel - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
22 HONG Vincent Q. - 1% 13% 34% 35% 16% 3%
23 YANG Ziyi - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
23 CHAN Matthew - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
25 CHIN Matthew W. 1% 8% 28% 39% 22% 3%
26 OVERDECK Andrew 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1%
27 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
28 HONG Steven - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 2%
29 SO Hananiah - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
30 BERGER Oliver - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13%
31 JINICH Ilan R. 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
32 GREENBAUM Ian L. 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
33 BARBER William S. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
34 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
35 JEFFORDS Alexander - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
36 XU William - 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
37 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 15%
38 TANN Justin 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
39 XU Luke 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
40 SWORDS Evan F. 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
41 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. - 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
42 LE Hayden - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4%
43 MAKLIN Edward P. 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
44 DENG Andrew - 2% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1%
45 DU Gavin J. - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
46 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
47 QIU Nathan - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
48 CHANG Colin S. - 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
49 MORRILL William - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
50 TONG ZACHARY - 5% 21% 40% 28% 6%
51 ZHENG Edward L. 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
52 ZHOU Kevin - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 5%
53 LIU kelly - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
54 YUN Jake - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
55 KIM Shaun M. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
56 HOUTZ Jackson - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
57 FENG Leo - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
58 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% 1%
59 NOURELDIN Gabriel 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
60 SIMAK Joseph P. - - 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
61 HUANG Ethan F. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
62 ZENG Noah 6% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
63 AVAKIAN Alec - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2%
64 CHEONG Heonjae 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
65 PIWOWAR Alex 4% 26% 41% 23% 5% 1% -
66 WOODWARD Connor - - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8%
67 KAYDALIN Artyom - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
68 REN Richard 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
69 VAUGHN Jason 2% 27% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
70 MORRILL Justin - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
71 NG Jeremiah 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
72 WANG Nicolas 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
73 ZUBATIY Samuel - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
74 RESHEIDAT Malik 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
75 SHASHA zane - 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
76 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
77 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 48% 39% 11% 1% - -
78 BERRIO Carter E. 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
79 REED Samuel J. 33% 44% 19% 3% - -
80 ZHANG Derek 8% 34% 38% 17% 3% -
81 LEITH Jack 8% 39% 36% 14% 3% - -
82 KOGAN Benjamin - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
83 EDELMAN Seth A. 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
84 ZHOU Miles - 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
85 CADAMBI Roshan 3% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
86 NAZLYMOV Andrei 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
87 REN James 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
88 FIELDS Matthew S. 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
89 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
90 KUMAR Sachit 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
91 LEUNG Nathan 5% 33% 40% 18% 4% - -
92 JANG Junhyuk 2% 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
93 CHOI Silas 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
94 FLOT Tai A. 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
95 KOTOV Leonid 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
96 HOLZ William A. 2% 24% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
97 TANG Charles 5% 66% 25% 4% - - -
98 WU Richard 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
99 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
99 DEPEW Spencer 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
101 DUDNICK Christian 28% 45% 21% 4% - - -
102 BLEYMAN David 7% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
103 FORT David 9% 37% 37% 14% 2% - -
104 OH Triton 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
105 WANG Robert 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
105 GOLD Carter 64% 30% 5% - - - -
107 CHEN Evan P. 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
108 LOWHAM-RUZZO Alexander J. 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
109 RAJAN Advait 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
110 POSY Daniel 28% 46% 22% 4% - - -
111 RODGERS Jacob 93% 7% - - - - -
112 ZHANG Ethan W. 26% 45% 23% 5% 1% - -
113 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 82% 17% 1% - - - -
114 DECK Tyson 63% 31% 5% - - - -
115 FERBER Oliver E. 63% 31% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.