May NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, May 8, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
2 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
3 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
5 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
6 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
7 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
8 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
9 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
10 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
11 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
12 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
13 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
14 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
15 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
16 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
17 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
18 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
19 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
20 BULL Anderson 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
21 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1%
22 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3%
23 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
23 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
25 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 3%
26 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
27 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
28 HONG Steven 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2%
29 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
30 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
31 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
32 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
33 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
34 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
35 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
36 XU William 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
37 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
38 TANN Justin 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
39 XU Luke 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
40 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
41 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 2%
42 LE Hayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
43 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
44 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1%
45 DU Gavin J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
46 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
47 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
48 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
49 MORRILL William 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
50 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
51 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
52 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
53 LIU kelly 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
54 YUN Jake 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 5%
55 KIM Shaun M. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
56 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
57 FENG Leo 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
58 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
59 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
60 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 92% 66% 28% 5%
61 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
62 ZENG Noah 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
63 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
64 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
65 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 96% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
66 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
67 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
68 REN Richard 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
69 VAUGHN Jason 100% 98% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
70 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
71 NG Jeremiah 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
72 WANG Nicolas 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
73 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
74 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
75 SHASHA zane 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 14% 2%
76 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 32% 6%
77 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
78 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
79 REED Samuel J. 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
80 ZHANG Derek 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% -
81 LEITH Jack 100% 92% 53% 17% 3% - -
82 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
83 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
84 ZHOU Miles 100% 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
85 CADAMBI Roshan 100% 97% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
86 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
87 REN James 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
88 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
89 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
90 KUMAR Sachit 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
91 LEUNG Nathan 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% - -
92 JANG Junhyuk 100% 98% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
93 CHOI Silas 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
94 FLOT Tai A. 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 2%
95 KOTOV Leonid 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
96 HOLZ William A. 100% 98% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
97 TANG Charles 100% 95% 29% 4% - - -
98 WU Richard 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
99 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
99 DEPEW Spencer 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
101 DUDNICK Christian 100% 72% 26% 5% - - -
102 BLEYMAN David 100% 93% 61% 24% 5% - -
103 FORT David 100% 91% 54% 17% 2% - -
104 OH Triton 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
105 WANG Robert 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
105 GOLD Carter 100% 36% 5% - - - -
107 CHEN Evan P. 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
108 LOWHAM-RUZZO Alexander J. 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
109 RAJAN Advait 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
110 POSY Daniel 100% 72% 26% 5% - - -
111 RODGERS Jacob 100% 7% - - - - -
112 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
113 BONN-ELCHONESS Peter 100% 18% 1% - - - -
114 DECK Tyson 100% 37% 6% - - - -
115 FERBER Oliver E. 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.