May NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Saturday, May 8, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STONE Anne-Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 WOZNIAK Dagmara I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
3 ZAGUNIS Mariel L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 THOMPSON Kamali A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
5 SHELTON Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
6 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
7 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
8 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
9 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
10 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
11 JOHNSON Honor B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
12 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
13 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
14 RUSSO Francesca 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
15 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
16 MIKA Veronica 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
17 JENKINS Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
18 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
19 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
20 BURKE Nora S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
21 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
22 ADYNSKI Gillian I. 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 6%
23 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
24 AVAKIAN Mikaela 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 25%
25 HARRILL Gillian N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
26 GORMLEY Arwen E. 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
27 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
28 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
29 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
30 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 12%
31 GHOSH Priyanka 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
32 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
33 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
34 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 9%
35 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
36 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10% 1%
37 LI Victoria J. 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 4% -
38 KONG Vera 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
39 LI Amanda C. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
40 XI Shining 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
41 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
42 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
43 JULIEN Michelle 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
44 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 7%
45 ENGELMAN Madeline A. 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 10% 1%
46 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
47 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
48 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 92% 61% 22% 3%
49 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4%
50 TURNOF Kayla M. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
51 MARSEE Samantha 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
52 LIANG Megan 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 9%
53 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
54 ZEGERS Anneke E. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
55 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
56 YUN Joy 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31% 5%
57 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 9% 1%
58 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
59 KATZ Anat 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
60 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
61 LACSON Sarah 100% 94% 65% 20% 2% -
62 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
63 TUCKER Iman R. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
64 TAO Hannah J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
65 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 2%
66 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
67 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
68 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 5%
68 SHOMAN Miriam 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
70 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
71 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 95% 71% 31% 5% -
72 BLUM Leah I. 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
73 CHEN Xinyan 100% 75% 30% 6% - -
74 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
75 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
75 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
77 BROWN Emma 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
78 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 2%
79 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
80 DRAGON Rainer 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 7% -
81 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
82 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
83 HILD Nisha 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
84 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 98% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
85 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 95% 72% 38% 11% 2% -
85 LU Elaine 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
87 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
88 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
89 YONG Erika E. 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
90 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
91 WU Erica L. 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% -
92 JUNG Irene 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
93 SZETO Chloe 100% 92% 61% 23% 3% -
94 KALRA Himani V. 100% 94% 61% 23% 4% -
95 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 90% 46% 11% 1% -
96 KANTIPUDI Shrika 100% 36% 5% - - -
97 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 78% 30% 4% - -
98 LU Amy 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
99 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
100 CHANG Emily 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
100 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
100 HOLMES Emma 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
103 NI Sharon 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
104 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 100% 91% 61% 27% 6% 1% -
105 NEIBART Fiona 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
106 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
107 HURST Kennedy 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
108 DARINGA Arianna 100% 63% 17% 2% - -
109 SHIN Andrea Y. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
110 DANK Dina 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
111 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
112 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
113 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.