May NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, May 9, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
2 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
3 AVAKIAN Mikaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
3 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
5 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
6 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
7 JOHNSON Honor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
8 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8%
9 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
10 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
11 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 14%
12 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
13 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
14 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
15 YUN Joy 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
16 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 98% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
17 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
18 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
19 ZEGERS Anneke E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
19 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
21 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
22 KONG Vera 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 46%
23 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% -
24 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4%
25 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
26 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
27 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 13%
28 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
29 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
30 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 1%
31 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9% 1%
32 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
33 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
34 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
35 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1%
36 HILD Nisha 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
37 SZETO Chloe 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
37 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
39 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 4%
40 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 15%
41 KALRA Himani V. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
42 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 4%
43 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
43 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
45 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
46 NI Sharon 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1% -
47 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 91% 60% 25% 5% -
48 LIANG Megan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
49 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
50 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
51 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
52 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
53 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 93% 64% 27% 5% -
54 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
55 XI Shining 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
56 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
57 MIKA Veronica 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
58 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 1%
59 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
60 YONG Erika E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
61 DARINGA Arianna 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
62 KATZ Anat 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
63 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
64 LEVITIS Danielle 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
65 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
66 GORMLEY Arwen E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
67 TODD Phoebe 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
68 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 8%
69 NEIBART Fiona 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
70 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
71 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 1%
72 GHAYALOD reya 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
73 SHOMAN Miriam 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
74 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
75 BARTON Mele 100% 55% 14% 1% - - -
76 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
77 DANK Dina 100% 97% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
78 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
79 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
80 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 95% 60% 17% 2% -
81 PAUL Lila 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
82 WU Erica L. 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
83 LACSON Sarah 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
84 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 93% 62% 24% 4% -
85 FANG Victoria W. 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
86 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
87 BHATTACHARJEE Rhea 100% 99% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
88 HUANG MADELINE 100% 20% 2% - - - -
89 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
90 HOLMES Emma 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
91 JAVERI Amaya 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
92 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
93 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
94 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
95 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
96 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
97 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 94% 57% 15% 2% -
98 SHIN Andrea Y. 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
98 LIAO Siwen 100% 99% 68% 26% 5% - -
100 GRAFF Sophie 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
101 TONG Jessie 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
102 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
103 CHIANG Emily 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
104 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 100% 98% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
105 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 82% 31% 5% - - -
106 EVANS Madelynn 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
107 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
108 CHANG Audrey 100% 87% 41% 10% 1% - -
109 WANG Jianning 100% 91% 49% 12% 1% - -
110 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 34% 4% - - - -
111 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
112 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% - -
113 KOLL-BRAVMANN Ryder S. 100% 33% 4% - - - -
114 LU Amy 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
115 SCHIKORE Anna M. 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
116 LIGH Karis 100% 19% 2% - - - -
117 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 43% 6% - - - -
118 MEYTIN Sophia E. 100% 36% 5% - - -
119 NATH Trisha 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% - -
120 RODGERS Rachel 100% 3% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.