Santa' Revenge The COVID Year Payback

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 8:45 AM

Nova Fencing Club - Falls Church, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
2 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 32% 5%
3 MURPHY Ryan M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
3 SHEARMAN Mathew 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
5 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% < 1%
6 MULLIGAN Timothy (Tim) D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 18%
7 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
8 TSIMMERMAN Michael 100% 93% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
9 FADL Omar 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 19%
10 PONCET Sarah 100% 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
11 DEGER Grant W. 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% - -
12 GAO Anne 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
13 GRIGORYEV Roman A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
14 NORTH Zoe M. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
15 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8% 1%
16 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
17 ROGERS Windell 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% - -
18 MORRIS Luke 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% - -
19 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
20 DESILVER Rachel 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
21 MAHON-SANTOS Diego 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.