Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, May 29, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Meadowlands Exposition Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
2 LEE Brendan - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
3 XU Andy P. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
3 LEE Jonah - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 13%
5 LIN James G. - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
6 SIU Aiden - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 24%
7 MARX Jackson L. - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
8 LING Eddie - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
9 LI Aaron - - 7% 29% 43% 21%
10 MATSAKH Philip - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
11 YAO Bradley - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
12 ZENG Rick 4% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
13 SHAO Eric - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
14 HAN Derek - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
15 UNGERER Roger M. 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
16 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
17 ZHEN Ethan - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
18 CHEN Kyle P. - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
19 SENIC Lucas - 2% 14% 35% 37% 13%
20 GUO Justin 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 2%
21 DERRICK Blake - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
22 ALLEN Henry G. - 5% 28% 41% 21% 4%
23 TANG Albert - - 4% 21% 44% 27% 4%
24 MALHAM Andrew 2% 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
25 SIMONOV Timofey - - 1% 11% 37% 41% 9%
26 TANG Terry 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
27 HUANG Eythan 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
28 WONG Jackson - 6% 30% 41% 20% 3%
29 CO Dylan 2% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
30 WU Lucas - 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 6%
31 TANG Alexander L. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
32 LIU Derek - < 1% 5% 24% 45% 26%
33 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
34 TANG August L. 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
35 RUSSELL Paul - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
36 AGRAWAL Niki 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
37 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
38 WU Alber Y. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
39 TAN Aidan 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
40 JIN Andy 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
41 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
42 GULCHIN Mark 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
43 SONG Noel 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
44 MANIKTALA Suvir 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
45 YU William 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
46 TOOMRE Luca 1% 14% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
47 BOBROW Silas 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
48 MO Ethan 3% 26% 41% 24% 6% 1%
49 SHENG Dalton 2% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1%
50 HUA Aaron 33% 50% 15% 2% - -
51 UNGERER Henry 64% 30% 5% - - -
52 GUTH Joseph 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
53 CHO Xzander 41% 47% 11% 1% - -
54 YEVDAYEV Tamir 12% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
55 TSAY Jordan R. 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
56 LIU Jeremiah 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
57 XU Nathan 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
58 CHANG Eric Jonathan 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
58 LIU Robert 14% 46% 31% 8% 1% - -
60 WANDJI NANA Noah 1% 9% 31% 40% 16% 3% -
61 BELOKON Sammy 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
62 CHEN Ethan 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
63 CHENG Logan 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
64 WONG Jacob W. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
65 MCGRATH Oliver 55% 37% 7% 1% - - -
66 SHKURY Ariel 8% 33% 38% 17% 3% - -
67 MCGRATH Milo 13% 45% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.