Star Cup RYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, November 7, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Beaver Country Day School - Arts and Athletic Center - Chestnut Hill, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOGAN Benjamin - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
2 MORALES Jonathan - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
3 OH Triton - 1% 10% 34% 41% 14%
3 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - - 1% 8% 36% 54%
5 SKINNER Graham B. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
6 HUANG Connor - 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
7 GOLDMAN Noah R. - 5% 21% 42% 32%
8 ENGEL Peter - 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
9 KILGALLEN William - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
10 PIWOWAR Alex - - 3% 17% 38% 34% 8%
11 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 3% 16% 38% 36% 7%
12 KASPER Aaron - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
13 LI Yao (Liam) 1% 8% 30% 40% 19% 3%
14 SHIPITSIN Alexander 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
15 CHTERENTAL Alex - - 6% 27% 45% 22%
16 PERRON Robert 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
17 HUROWITZ Max 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% < 1%
18 BAE Jason I. - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
19 HUANG Tom 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4%
20 WEN Edward - 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
21 FALCON-KORB Mathis - 1% 9% 25% 37% 24% 4%
22 SHINCHUK Daniel - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
23 ZHUANG Rayken - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
24 KUSHKOV Veniamin - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
25 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 2% -
25 GONG Jerry 1% 10% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
27 BONDARENCO Vlad 11% 33% 36% 17% 3%
28 MUNGOVAN Matthew 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
29 BROOK Joel 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
30 KESSLER Josh 3% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1%
31 KESSLER Nathan 3% 19% 40% 29% 9% 1%
32 MCCUE Henry 46% 41% 11% 1% - - -
33 JAVIDI Michael 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
34 BOULAIS Andrew D. 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
35 SMINK Oliver - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
36 TAUER Sam 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
37 EYBELMAN Ariel 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
38 SMITH Vaughn 15% 38% 34% 12% 1%
39 WONG Alexander 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
40 ZHANG Yongxi 3% 21% 39% 29% 8% -
41 MARGULIAN Grant 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
42 HOFFMAN Pasquale 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
43 HO Jacob 27% 47% 22% 4% - -
44 MAGNI Jesse 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
45 PRIEUR Christian F. 2% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1% -
46 GITELSON David 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
47 CHEN Alex 26% 47% 22% 4% - - -
47 KEIPER Benjamin 7% 32% 39% 18% 3% - -
49 PEACE Joshua 10% 37% 37% 14% 2% -
50 LAUB William 14% 41% 33% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.