Star Cup RYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, November 7, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Beaver Country Day School - Arts and Athletic Center - Chestnut Hill, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
2 MORALES Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
3 OH Triton 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
3 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
5 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
6 HUANG Connor 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
7 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
8 ENGEL Peter 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
9 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
10 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
11 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 7%
12 KASPER Aaron 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
13 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
14 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
15 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
16 PERRON Robert 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
17 HUROWITZ Max 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% < 1%
18 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
19 HUANG Tom 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
20 WEN Edward 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
21 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
22 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
23 ZHUANG Rayken 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
24 KUSHKOV Veniamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
25 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
25 GONG Jerry 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 3% -
27 BONDARENCO Vlad 100% 89% 56% 19% 3%
28 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
29 BROOK Joel 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
30 KESSLER Josh 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1%
31 KESSLER Nathan 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
32 MCCUE Henry 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
33 JAVIDI Michael 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
34 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
35 SMINK Oliver 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
36 TAUER Sam 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
37 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 93% 64% 26% 4%
38 SMITH Vaughn 100% 85% 48% 14% 1%
39 WONG Alexander 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
40 ZHANG Yongxi 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% -
41 MARGULIAN Grant 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
42 HOFFMAN Pasquale 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
43 HO Jacob 100% 73% 26% 4% - -
44 MAGNI Jesse 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
45 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 98% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
46 GITELSON David 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
47 CHEN Alex 100% 74% 27% 5% - - -
47 KEIPER Benjamin 100% 93% 60% 21% 3% - -
49 PEACE Joshua 100% 90% 53% 15% 2% -
50 LAUB William 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.