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Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 21, 2021 at 12:30 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LE Tan 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
2 REIDY Alexander - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
3 EVANS Allen L. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 6%
3 PAN Colin 2% 16% 41% 31% 9% 1%
5 BAMPTON Nicholas J. - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
6 OTT James (Jimmy) P. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
7 LU Samantha R. 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1%
8 DICKENS Thomas 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
9 POWERS Meredith R. - 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
10 ZELENSKY Paul 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
11 CLAY Cameron - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
12 SHOWALTER Zachary - 2% 13% 35% 38% 13%
13 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 1% 8% 29% 39% 19% 3%
14 ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. 1% 9% 30% 38% 20% 4%
15 ZOOK Evan D. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
16 ROTHKA Spencer J. 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
17 JOYNER Brian 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
18 DAVIS Robert C. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
19 GOLART Alexis A. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
20 SMYTH Sefton K. 35% 40% 19% 5% 1% - -
21 FORREST John 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
22 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
23 WORRALL Cary 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
24 ZANGA Kaitlyn - 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
25 LU Qi 12% 39% 36% 12% 1% -
26 GIACOPASSI Dean D. 38% 46% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.