Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 21, 2021 at 12:30 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LE Tan 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
2 REIDY Alexander 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
3 EVANS Allen L. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
3 PAN Colin 100% 98% 82% 41% 10% 1%
5 BAMPTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
6 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
7 LU Samantha R. 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
8 DICKENS Thomas 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
9 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
10 ZELENSKY Paul 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
11 CLAY Cameron 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
12 SHOWALTER Zachary 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
13 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
14 ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4%
15 ZOOK Evan D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
16 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
17 JOYNER Brian 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
18 DAVIS Robert C. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
19 GOLART Alexis A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
20 SMYTH Sefton K. 100% 65% 25% 6% 1% - -
21 FORREST John 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 1% -
22 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 98% 85% 57% 23% 4%
23 WORRALL Cary 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
24 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
25 LU Qi 100% 88% 49% 13% 1% -
26 GIACOPASSI Dean D. 100% 62% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.