Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 8:15 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
2 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
3 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
3 WANG Mason 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
5 GUO Justin 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
6 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
7 WANG Jackson 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
8 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
9 LI Ayren 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 8%
10 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
11 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
12 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
13 XU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
14 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 10%
15 MASTROPAOLO Jonah W. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
16 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
17 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
18 TANG Terry 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
19 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
20 CHO Xzander 100% 57% 15% 2% < 1% -
21 SHAO Eric 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
22 BATRA-BANG Jonah 100% 99% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
23 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
24 FRUSZTAJER Miklosh 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
25 WHELAN Alexander H. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
26 TAE Ryan 100% 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
27 TJON Calum 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1% -
28 SONG Noel 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
29 JIA Jing Yu 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
30 GERRISH William 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
31 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
32 UNGERER Roger M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
33 XIE Jicheng 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
34 LAO Kevin 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
35 WANG Julang 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
36 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
37 HIGGASON Hugh 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
38 SCHLACK Jake 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
39 BLEIL Tyler 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
40 SURESH Rohan 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% -
41 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
42 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
43 BRENNEMAN Titus 100% 93% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
44 LOGAN Kai 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
45 CHEN Jimmy 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
46 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
47 LIU ERIC 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
47 SOLOPOULOS James 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
49 KELKAR Aakash 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
50 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% -
51 HAZLETT Grady 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
52 WEI Qian 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
53 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 22% 2% - - - -
54 WILSON Eric 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.