Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 8:30 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
2 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
3 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
5 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 2%
6 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
7 LIN Maxim 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% < 1%
8 WANG daniel 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
9 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
10 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
11 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
12 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
13 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
14 KIETLINSKI Samuel 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
15 LEUNG Ian 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
16 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
17 DAI Zihou 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
18 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
19 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 1%
20 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
21 FADEL Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 3%
22 MONTALVO Matthew 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% - -
23 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 10%
24 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
25 LEE Andrew 100% 99% 82% 44% 12% 1%
26 MALDARI Luke 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
27 LOO Jason 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% -
28 GERTSBERG Eli 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
29 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 95% 60% 20% 3% -
30 ABDEL-DAYEM Ibrahim 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
31 CHUNG Connor 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
32 LIN Justin 100% 33% 5% - - -
33 GOMEZ Emilio 100% 76% 30% 5% - - -
34 HOLTSCHLAG Milo 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
35 CHENG Sawyer 100% 97% 71% 29% 6% - -
36 MEHTA Krish 100% 77% 32% 5% - - -
37 KIM Daehwan(Benjamin) 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
38 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 62% 18% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.