The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, October 3, 2021 at 4:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
2 LO Alexander 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 6%
3 SHOMAN Noah 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
3 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
5 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 87% 48% 8%
6 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
7 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
8 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
9 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
10 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 3%
11 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
12 PANDEY Neil 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3%
13 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
14 RODE Leon J. 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3%
15 WU Wilmund 100% 98% 84% 54% 20% 3%
16 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
17 HU Andrew 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5%
18 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
19 WANG Robert 100% 100% 93% 58% 17% 1%
20 MOULTON Ian 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% -
21 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4%
22 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
23 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
24 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
25 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
26 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 93% 61% 19% 2%
27 MORALES Jonathan 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
28 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12%
29 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
30 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 98% 81% 43% 13% 1%
31 ZHUANG Rayken 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
32 SMINK Oliver 100% 99% 74% 34% 8% 1%
33 ANGKATAVANICH Owen 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
34 GONG Jerry 100% 75% 30% 4% - -
35 PERRON Robert 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
36 KESSLER Josh 100% 59% 19% 3% - -
37 HUANG Tom 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
38 BELEV Nicholas 100% 93% 58% 15% 1% -
39 DOLSKI Jack 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
40 GREENE Alexander J. 100% 100% 99% 87% 43% 5%
41 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3%
42 ALFARO Lucas 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
43 LEONARD Charles 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1%
44 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
45 WRIGHT Zachary 100% 72% 22% 3% - -
46 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 22% 2% - - -
47 CELLA Zev 100% 82% 42% 12% 1% -
48 KUMAR Shivai 100% 54% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.