June NAC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, June 5, 2021 at 1:45 PM

, - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUO Jessica Zi Jia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
2 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
3 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
5 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
6 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
7 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
8 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
9 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
10 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
11 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16%
12 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
13 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
14 SHEN Lydia 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
15 HALL Velma 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
16 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
17 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
18 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
19 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
20 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
21 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
22 OH Erin H. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
23 PERLMAN Talia 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
24 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
25 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
26 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
27 YU Seneca 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 15% 2%
28 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
29 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
30 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
31 TALAVERA Daena 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
32 JO Mia C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
33 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
34 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
35 LI Phoebe J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
36 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
37 YU Lauren C. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
38 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% -
39 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
40 KOREN Lihy Peer 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
41 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
42 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
43 CHO Cameron S. 100% 99% 86% 44% 8%
44 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
45 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
45 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 99% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
47 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
48 DUAN Konnie 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
49 CHO Gracie L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
50 LI Meilin 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
51 GAYDOS Sofia C. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
52 CHEN Allison V. 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
53 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
54 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
55 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 14% -
56 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 3%
57 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6% -
58 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1%
59 HE Fenghuan 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
60 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
60 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
62 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 1%
63 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
64 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
65 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
66 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
67 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
68 FERNANDES Thea 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
69 LEE Bethany W. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
70 WONG Sophia M. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
71 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
72 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
73 MEI Sarah 100% 77% 28% 5% - - -
74 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 76% 30% 6% - - -
74 WU Julianna Y. 100% 99% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
76 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 87% 47% 9%
77 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 9%
78 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 99% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
79 BATRA Chaahat 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
80 KONG Olivia 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
81 LIN Ashley 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
82 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
83 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
84 XUE Alanna L. 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
85 LEE Lavender 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
86 HUANG NATALIE 100% 91% 52% 16% 2% -
87 GU EMILY 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
88 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
89 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 83% 26% 4% - - -
90 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
90 ZULUETA Catherine 100% 44% 7% 1% - - -
92 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 1%
93 WEINTRAUB Io H. 100% 95% 69% 27% 5% - -
94 LIU Sophia 100% 87% 45% 12% 2% - -
95 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 96% 56% 15% 1%
96 LEE Ariana 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
97 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
98 PENG Amber L. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
98 SULEIMAN Alysa J. 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
100 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
101 WU Irene M. 100% 99% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
102 HAYES Alyssa R. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
103 SU Michelle 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
104 LEE Ji Ahn 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
105 DATLA Medha 100% 53% 10% 1% - - -
106 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 98% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
106 MUSTO Isabella 100% 70% 17% 2% - - -
108 ZGOMBIC Emily 100% 56% 13% 1% - - -
109 HSIUNG Samantha 100% 96% 41% 8% 1% - -
109 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 32% 2% - - - -
111 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 52% 8% 1% - - -
112 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 75% 25% 4% - - -
113 WANDJI Anais 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
114 TAN Clarisse 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
114 LEE Fiona E. 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
116 LI Sophia M. 100% 84% 35% 7% 1% - -
117 YANG Lingting 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% - -
118 KENNEDY Elizabeth 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
119 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 100% 17% 1% - -
120 BRADFORD Meeah 100% 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 2%
121 SULEIMAN Alena J. 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
122 QIAN Zhiyan 100% 47% 8% 1% - - -
123 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
124 HSIEH Sabrina 100% 9% - - - - -
125 DATLA Meha 100% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.