Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 29, 2017 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center - Miami, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NDIAYE Edriss - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
2 LUTAR Lucas N. - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
3 CRALEY Thomas M. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
3 VITI Mark G. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
5 HAMILTON Bogdan A. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
6 PELOSKY Ryan F. - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
7 SHAFAIE Kaveh - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
8 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
9 EMMER Chase T. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 8%
10 KIM Nicholas W. - - 2% 14% 37% 36% 11%
11 TUMMINGS C.J. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
12 LEE Chris - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6%
13 FU Samuel Y. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
14 REALS Alden D. 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
15 WALTER Evran M. 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
16 CHEN Allen 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
17 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 27% 8%
18 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
19 YEROKHIN Michael N. - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
20 JANG Jaewon - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
21 LOCKWOOD Owen - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
22 LOUIE Timothy J. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
23 CHEN Andrew - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
24 LIU Eric P. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
25 SMITH Quin - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
26 LIU Kevin X. - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
27 GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
28 ZHANG Henry C. - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
29 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
30 KIM Tei D. 3% 23% 40% 27% 7% 1% -
31 CHAN Tyler 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
32 LI Yulei 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
33 GEE Brandon - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
34 SINGH Dayaal - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
35 STANLEY Mason B. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
36 PETERS Nathan M. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
37 GU Jeffrey - 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
38 ZELJKOVIC Dusan - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
39 SHIKHMAN Robert - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
40 STANLEY Hanno - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
41 MITCHUM Drew J - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
42 RINEHART Conner M. - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 4%
43 PAE Jonathan L. 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5% -
44 REZNICK Nicholas J. 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3% -
44 WEN George C. 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
47 KASI Sanjay 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
48 LI Jeffrey 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
49 PELOSKY Zack B. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
50 YU Vinni 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
51 PICARD Justin 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
52 LYUTIKOV Yegor 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
53 ONIK Elijah T. 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
54 TIAN Aaron C. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
55 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
55 LAURICELLA Douglas 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5% -
57 EDWARDS Mark S. 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
58 WILLIAMS Connor J. 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
60 FURST Matthew C. 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
60 ROBINSON Keegan B. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
62 MAK Jeff 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
63 BELLUOMO David C. 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
64 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
67 BOBROW Logan 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
68 BRODERICK Padraig 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
69 KULKARNI Ansh A. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
70 MITCHELL Philip D. 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
71 SURINGA William J. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
72 SHA Yi Peng 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
73 ZHAO Dylan L. 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
74 SONG Leonardo T. 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
75 MAHNKEN Thomas 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
76 YOST Jacob A. 7% 27% 39% 23% 5% - -
77 PAULSON Connor M. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
78 VLAHOS Ioannis M. 13% 35% 35% 14% 3% - -
79 BARBER Stas A. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
80 LE Vyn A. 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
82 CIDECIYAN Nicholas 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
84 FAJER Jacob K. 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.