Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 29, 2017 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center - Miami, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NDIAYE Edriss 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 9%
2 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
3 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
3 VITI Mark G. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
5 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
6 PELOSKY Ryan F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
7 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
8 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8%
9 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
10 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
11 TUMMINGS C.J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
12 LEE Chris 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
13 FU Samuel Y. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
14 REALS Alden D. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
15 WALTER Evran M. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 7% -
16 CHEN Allen 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
17 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
18 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
19 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
20 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 2%
21 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
22 LOUIE Timothy J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
23 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
24 LIU Eric P. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
25 SMITH Quin 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 7%
26 LIU Kevin X. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
27 GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
28 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
29 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
30 KIM Tei D. 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
31 CHAN Tyler 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
32 LI Yulei 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
33 GEE Brandon 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
34 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
35 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
36 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 1%
37 GU Jeffrey 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
38 ZELJKOVIC Dusan 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
39 SHIKHMAN Robert 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
40 STANLEY Hanno 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
41 MITCHUM Drew J 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
42 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
43 PAE Jonathan L. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
44 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
44 WEN George C. 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
47 KASI Sanjay 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
48 LI Jeffrey 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
49 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 17% 3%
50 YU Vinni 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
51 PICARD Justin 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% -
52 LYUTIKOV Yegor 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
53 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 96% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
54 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
55 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
55 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
57 EDWARDS Mark S. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
58 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
60 FURST Matthew C. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
60 ROBINSON Keegan B. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
62 MAK Jeff 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
63 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
64 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
67 BOBROW Logan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
68 BRODERICK Padraig 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
69 KULKARNI Ansh A. 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
70 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
71 SURINGA William J. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
72 SHA Yi Peng 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
73 ZHAO Dylan L. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
74 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
75 MAHNKEN Thomas 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
76 YOST Jacob A. 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% - -
77 PAULSON Connor M. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
78 VLAHOS Ioannis M. 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
79 BARBER Stas A. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
80 LE Vyn A. 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
82 CIDECIYAN Nicholas 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
84 FAJER Jacob K. 100% 90% 60% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.