AIC Foil & Epee RYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Friday, August 20, 2021 at 8:30 AM

HERNDON, VA - HERNDON, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIN Michael 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
2 ROSE Ben 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
3 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
3 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
5 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 96% 70% 21%
6 LI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
7 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
8 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
9 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
10 WANG Winston 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
11 SONG Austin 100% 100% 98% 79% 37% 7%
12 HUANG Eythan 100% 99% 92% 59% 20% 2%
13 PAN Henry 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
14 TANG Albert 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
15 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
16 SHENG Dalton 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
17 ZHAO Adam 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1%
18 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 97% 76% 29% 4%
19 VADEN Oliver 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
20 KOKE Matthew C. 100% 79% 33% 6% - -
21 YAP Nathan 100% 60% 16% 2% -
22 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
23 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
24 PARRISH Evan 100% 97% 72% 31% 7% 1%
25 RILEY Colin T. 100% 31% 4% - - -
26 PAN Edwin 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 1%
27 LIU Robert 100% 74% 22% 2% -
28 JIANG Bowang 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
29 YU William 100% 64% 19% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.