American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, June 12, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LAI Adam J. - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
2 KARAM Tariq A. - - - 1% 21% 78%
3 SHI Andrew - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
3 MORRILL Justin - 2% 11% 33% 39% 16%
5 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
5 CHON Taylor A. - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
7 CHAN Matthew - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
8 BASALYGA Jeffrey - - 2% 18% 46% 34%
9 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
10 BARNETT Adam - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
11 WONG Ryan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
12 HO Kaden M. 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
13 MORRILL William - - 5% 27% 46% 21%
13 DENG Andrew 3% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
15 QUAN Nicholas - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
16 GHENEA George Philipe 2% 15% 39% 33% 11% 1%
17 HUANG Ethan F. 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
18 COLE Alexander 2% 15% 37% 36% 11% -
19 SIMAK Joseph P. 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
20 MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. - 2% 15% 43% 32% 7%
21 GETS Matthew D. - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
22 CHEN Evan P. 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
23 ZENG Noah 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
24 YEN Preston - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
25 FERRIS George H. 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
25 HUANG Tyler T. 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
27 GHOSH Tuhin - 2% 16% 39% 34% 8%
27 HONG Vincent Q. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
29 KIM Matthew 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
30 CORTEZ Christopher 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
31 SANDERS Samuel B. 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
32 YAO Jonathan - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
33 ARROYO RIVERA JOSE M. 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
34 RAUSCHER Ryan 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
35 ZHOU Miles 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
36 KNISPEL-HEYWORTH Rafael 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
37 PIWOWAR Alex 6% 35% 43% 14% 2% -
38 MATSUI Alen K. 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
39 LIU Mingyang Ryan 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
40 EDELMAN Seth A. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
41 LEVIN Mark A. - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
42 REYES Kyle 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
43 OVERDECK Andrew 11% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
44 JANG Junhyuk 8% 39% 40% 12% 1% -
45 OH Triton 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
46 HAN Daniel Y. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
47 LEE Aydan J. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
47 YUAN Kevin 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
49 PANDEY Neil 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
49 GEORGE Daniel 29% 44% 22% 5% - -
51 WU Yiyang 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
52 KIM Shaun M. 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
53 HU Andrew 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
54 MCCARTHY Gabriel 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% -
55 LIU Yizhe 31% 49% 17% 2% - -
56 LO Alexander 4% 22% 39% 26% 7% 1%
57 NG Jeremiah 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
58 LEUNG Nathan 35% 43% 19% 3% - -
59 YU Thomas 29% 43% 23% 5% - -
59 YU Limin 58% 35% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.