American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC Reg Open 1/15

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, June 12, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Oaks, PA - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
2 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
3 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
3 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
5 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
5 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
7 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
8 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
9 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
10 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
11 WONG Ryan 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
12 HO Kaden M. 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
13 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 21%
13 DENG Andrew 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 1%
15 QUAN Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
16 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 98% 83% 44% 12% 1%
17 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
18 COLE Alexander 100% 98% 84% 47% 11% -
19 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
20 MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. 100% 100% 98% 83% 39% 7%
21 GETS Matthew D. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
22 CHEN Evan P. 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
23 ZENG Noah 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
24 YEN Preston 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
25 FERRIS George H. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
25 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
27 GHOSH Tuhin 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 8%
27 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 98% 84% 54% 20% 3%
29 KIM Matthew 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
30 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
31 SANDERS Samuel B. 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
32 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
33 ARROYO RIVERA JOSE M. 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
34 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
35 ZHOU Miles 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
36 KNISPEL-HEYWORTH Rafael 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
37 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 94% 59% 16% 2% -
38 MATSUI Alen K. 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
39 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
40 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% -
41 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
42 REYES Kyle 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
43 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
44 JANG Junhyuk 100% 92% 52% 13% 1% -
45 OH Triton 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
46 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 96% 76% 41% 11% 1%
47 LEE Aydan J. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
47 YUAN Kevin 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
49 PANDEY Neil 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
49 GEORGE Daniel 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
51 WU Yiyang 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
52 KIM Shaun M. 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
53 HU Andrew 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
54 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
55 LIU Yizhe 100% 69% 20% 2% - -
56 LO Alexander 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1%
57 NG Jeremiah 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
58 LEUNG Nathan 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
59 YU Thomas 100% 71% 29% 6% - -
59 YU Limin 100% 42% 7% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.