William and Mary Halloween Open 2021

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 24, 2021 at 9:30 AM

Miller Gymnasium, Student Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAMPTON Nicholas J. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
2 MILEWSKI Nicole 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
3 RUESTA Daniel A. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
3 SCHAPIRO Jacob - 13% 41% 33% 10% 1%
5 ROTHKA Spencer J. - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
6 PAINTER Patrick I. - 4% 19% 39% 30% 8%
7 GOLART Alexis A. 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
8 PAN Colin 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
9 ZOOK Evan D. - 1% 10% 35% 40% 14%
10 HYMAN Edward - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
11 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
12 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
13 MOREY Zachary D. - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
14 RUBAN Misha 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3%
15 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 1% 8% 25% 36% 25% 6%
16 DICKENS Thomas - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
17 BAGHA Armin - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 7%
18 ZALEWSKI David 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
19 JOYNER Brian 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
20 SEMP Brannon A. 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
21 BEUTE Andrew 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
22 ANDERSON Alena 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
23 HUFFORD Aoife 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
24 HERMES Henry 16% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
25 RICHARDSON Katie R. 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
26 FORREST John 4% 25% 42% 24% 5% -
27 SMITH Gwyneth 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
28 TYNAN Peter 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
29 GIACOPASSI Dean D. 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
30 FRENCH George 15% 47% 30% 7% 1% -
31 COLON Ryan 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
32 HAVERSON Civa 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.