William and Mary Halloween Open 2021

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 24, 2021 at 9:30 AM

Miller Gymnasium, Student Recreation Center - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAMPTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
2 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
3 RUESTA Daniel A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
3 SCHAPIRO Jacob 100% 100% 86% 45% 11% 1%
5 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
6 PAINTER Patrick I. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
7 GOLART Alexis A. 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
8 PAN Colin 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
9 ZOOK Evan D. 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
10 HYMAN Edward 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
11 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
12 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 10% 1%
13 MOREY Zachary D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
14 RUBAN Misha 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
15 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
16 DICKENS Thomas 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
17 BAGHA Armin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
18 ZALEWSKI David 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 1%
19 JOYNER Brian 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
20 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
21 BEUTE Andrew 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
22 ANDERSON Alena 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
23 HUFFORD Aoife 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
24 HERMES Henry 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
25 RICHARDSON Katie R. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
26 FORREST John 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% -
27 SMITH Gwyneth 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
28 TYNAN Peter 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
29 GIACOPASSI Dean D. 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
30 FRENCH George 100% 85% 38% 8% 1% -
31 COLON Ryan 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
32 HAVERSON Civa 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.