The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

RCFC "Home for the Holidays" Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 18, 2021 at 10:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Brian X. - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
2 HSU Shiou Tian 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% -
3 SUVOROV Yuly - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
3 HUANG Thomas 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
5 WEISE Eli S. - 1% 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
6 CHOI Isaac - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
7 BENACK Steven M. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
8 ZHOU Justin - 4% 25% 42% 23% 5% -
9 EXUM Travis - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
10 KILUK Andrew - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
11 LOMBARD Ella - - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
12 JOHNSON Jeff - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
13 BLOCK B.J. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 12%
14 ZHOU Gavin 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
15 LAWLER Aidan - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
16 GUAN Nathan 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
17 BENACK Mark 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
18 STOCK Jordan 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
19 BEAVER Aaron 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
20 KLEIN Johannes 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
21 BEAVER Kaitlyn 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
22 HSU Tzu-Chen 3% 22% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
23 WONG Nathan 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
24 LOESER Jacob 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
25 KHRISSANOV Peter 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
26 ESTABLECIDA Kyann Roy 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
27 CHANG Ella 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
28 MCKINNEY Lukas 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.