Santa Claus RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 2:00 PM

Event Center at Valley Forge, 1160 1st Ave - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
2 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
3 WEI Zheng (Jonny) 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
3 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
5 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
6 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
7 TEH Steven 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
8 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 99% 89% 55% 16% 2%
9 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
10 MAHESH Tarun 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
11 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
12 CHEN Zhong Han 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
13 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
14 HU Robert J. 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
15 ZHANG ethan 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
16 KNOX James 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
17 WANG Max S 100% 97% 80% 39% 8% 1%
18 NGUYEN Damien 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
19 NORDQUIST Zach 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% -
20 KIM Dylan 100% 76% 30% 5% - -
21 SHEAFFER Ethan 100% 56% 14% 2% - -
22 BYUN Kevin 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
23 BRENNAN Quinlan 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
24 MCWILLIAMS Miles 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
25 ELHADY Amr 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
26 TANG WanLi 100% 69% 23% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.