Dick Berry 90th Birthday Invitational 2021

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 24, 2021 at 2:30 PM

Former Cost Plus World Market Building - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BERMENDER Cameron - - - - 4% 29% 67%
2 PATINO Yahir - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
3 FULTON Richard - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
3 ANDERSON Jacob 1% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2%
5 LI Shuang 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
6 LIM Charles - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
7 HARRIS Otto 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
8 PATTERSON Natalia 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
10 BAEK David 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
11 ESTELL Oscar - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
12 PEGRAM Rafferty 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
13 BALDWIN Timothy - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
14 CORTRIGHT Joshua - 1% 6% 26% 42% 23% 2%
15 FRANK Lauren 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 6%
17 BUCHWALD Alan 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
18 RUBIN Maxim - 9% 34% 41% 14% 2% -
19 WARNER Mason 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
20 TON Kalista - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
20 BECKSTEAD Makayla 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
22 DOBRINEN Elizabeth 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
23 FLORES Kenneth 16% 43% 31% 8% 1% -
24 ARREDONDO Katrina 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
25 WARRICK Braden 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
26 TRAN Peter 2% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
27 LIU Yvonne 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
29 DVORSKY Mary 4% 22% 42% 26% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.