The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Senior Mixed Foil

Dick Berry 90th Birthday Invitational 2021Pool Heatmap

Sunday, October 24, 2021 at 2:30 PM Former Cost Plus World Market Building · Davis, CA, USA
29 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 PATINO Yahir 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
3 FULTON Richard 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
3 ANDERSON Jacob 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2%
5 LI Shuang 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
6 LIM Charles 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
7 HARRIS Otto 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
8 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
9 LO Hung Yui Missing ID
10 BAEK David 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 3%
11 ESTELL Oscar 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
12 PEGRAM Rafferty 100% 98% 82% 48% 14% 1%
13 BALDWIN Timothy 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
14 CORTRIGHT Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25% 2%
15 FRANK Lauren 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
16 PIERCE Aaron Missing ID
17 BUCHWALD Alan 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
18 RUBIN Maxim 100% 100% 91% 57% 16% 2% -
19 WARNER Mason 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% 1%
20 TON Kalista 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
20 BECKSTEAD Makayla 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
22 DOBRINEN Elizabeth 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
23 FLORES Kenneth 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
24 ARREDONDO Katrina 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
25 WARRICK Braden 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
26 TRAN Peter 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
27 XIA Mingyang Missing ID
27 LIU Yvonne 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 3% -
29 DVORSKY Mary 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1% -