July Challenge & Parafencing Nat'l Championships

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, July 25, 2021 at 11:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
2 GU Sarah 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
3 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
5 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 40%
6 ZAFFT Tatiana M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
7 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
8 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
9 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
10 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
11 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
12 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 2%
13 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
14 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
15 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 2%
16 LEUNG Natalie 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
17 MILLETTE Marie Frederique 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
18 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
19 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
19 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
21 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
22 LIU Christina A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 2%
23 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
24 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
25 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
26 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
27 NING Emma 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
28 HU Grace 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
29 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
30 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
31 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
32 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
33 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
34 CHU Audrey 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
35 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 16%
36 XU Grace (XinYi) 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 3%
37 YU Nicole J. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
38 YANG Miranda (Yinuo) 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
39 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
40 LUO Ashley 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
41 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
42 COBERT Helen G. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
43 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 99% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
43 WANG Nora 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
45 GABERKORN Nadia 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
46 CHOI Eunice 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
47 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
48 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
49 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
50 YAO Yilin 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
51 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
52 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
53 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
54 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
55 SUN Renee R. 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
56 MCLANE Lauren 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 9%
57 GAO Judy 100% 99% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
58 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
59 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
60 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
61 WU Amelia 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
62 YAO KATHARINE 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
63 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
64 ZHANG mickey 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
65 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% -
66 ZHU Chenxi (Heidi) 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
67 BEI Karen 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 11%
68 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
69 NI Emma 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
70 DESAI Meera P. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
71 AHUJA Arianna 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
72 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
72 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
74 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
75 KALE Anika A. 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
76 NGUYEN Kira 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
77 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
78 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 99% 85% 52% 17% 2%
79 MAO Amy 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
80 MING Cynthia 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
81 WEBER Nora 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
82 JOYAL Anne-Sophie 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
83 MIN MAGNOLIA 100% 98% 76% 38% 11% 2% -
84 LONG Cindy 100% 99% 85% 53% 19% 4% -
85 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
86 MUN Brianna K. 100% 74% 27% 5% - - -
87 FENG ge 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
88 KIM Zoe L. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
89 KIM Jayna 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
90 LONADIER Keira 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
91 HILL Phoebe 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% -
92 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
93 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
94 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1%
94 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
94 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
97 SCHAFF Marlene M. 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% -
98 ELSTON Sophia 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
99 REID Anousheh 100% 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1%
100 WEISS Talia L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
101 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
102 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
103 LEE kyungmin 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
104 HONG Elaine 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
105 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
106 PEELER Julia 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
107 PANT Anisha 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
108 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
109 NAKA Karen 100% 93% 65% 30% 7% 1% -
110 FELAND Alexandra 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
111 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
112 SANTA MARIA Luisa F. 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
113 LIN Waiyuk 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
114 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
115 MINOR Lindsey 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
116 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
117 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
118 WHITESIDES Ella K. 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
119 CHANG Ella 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
120 LEE Yedda 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
120 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
122 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% 1%
123 TSANG JAFFE Avi 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
123 KIM Erika S. 100% 94% 59% 21% 4% - -
123 DU Shunyi(Wendy) 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
126 GAURIAT Jade S. 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
126 CHA Eugenie 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
128 SHERTZ Kira E. 100% 87% 41% 9% 1% - -
128 RAINEY Zoe-Andrea 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
130 SHEN Stephanie 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 3% -
131 NASON Amelia 100% 56% 11% 1% - - -
132 WANG anne 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
133 ZENG Katrina 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
133 LIANG Yuanfeng 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
135 PARKS Eliana 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
136 SIVAGAR Fiona 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
137 SHU Youshan 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
138 GOLDBERG Sophie C. 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
139 LIN Ashley 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
140 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
141 HABERMAN Hailey 100% 68% 16% 2% - - -
142 POON Desiree 100% 31% 4% - - - -
143 RUSSELL Alison 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
143 LE Jennifer 100% 88% 48% 13% 2% -
145 BARNES Olivia R. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
146 LI Charlotte 100% 62% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.