AIC New Open Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 18, 2021 at 3:00 PM

AIC FENCING - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DE GUZMAN Inaki P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 33%
2 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
3 JONES Tyler 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
5 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 82%
6 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 89% 14%
7 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
8 DUAN Eric 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16% 1%
9 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
10 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 3%
11 AL-TAYEB Ahmed M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 2%
12 PAN Colin 100% 97% 73% 27% 1% -
13 WANG Trontour 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1% -
14 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
15 PAINTER Patrick I. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
16 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
17 LEE JoonWon 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
18 PENNER Kyle D. 100% 94% 63% 20% 1% -
19 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
20 FU Ethan 100% 99% 80% 35% 6% -
21 USDIN Anton 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
22 ZHANG Andy 100% 88% 48% 13% 2% - -
23 JANG Elliot 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
24 SINGH Aryaman 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
25 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 94% 63% 18% 2% -
26 LIN Harrison 100% 94% 62% 18% 1% -
27 LAWSON Dylan 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
28 BECK James 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
29 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1% -
30 WAGNER Logan 100% 97% 74% 32% 6% 1% -
31 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
32 ZHU Serene M. 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.