AIC New Open Challenge

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 19, 2021 at 3:00 PM

AIC FENCING - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GRASS Andrew E. - - - - 8% 92%
2 BUERGIN Aidan - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
3 LI Matthew - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
3 ROSE Ben - 7% 30% 42% 20% 1%
5 HO Jia Le Sean - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
6 CONVERSE Warren D. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
7 LIU Eric Y. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
8 EMENHEISER Conrad 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
9 KNIZHNIK David - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
10 POWERS Meredith R. 9% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
11 PAN Henry 2% 21% 43% 28% 6% -
12 SHENG Chuxi 35% 43% 19% 3% - -
13 WANG Winston - 4% 22% 45% 28% 1%
14 SONG Austin 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 2%
15 SZEGO Bence P. - 6% 27% 40% 22% 4%
16 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 5% 32% 41% 19% 3% -
17 ROUNTREE Rob - 6% 26% 41% 24% 3%
18 TANG August L. 3% 17% 35% 32% 13% 1%
19 BERNABE Rafael 7% 35% 38% 16% 3% -
20 ORLOV Dmitriy 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
21 JIANG Bowang 67% 29% 4% - - -
22 TIKHAEV Alexander 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
23 GALLUCH Peter G. 5% 32% 40% 19% 4% -
24 KAN Edward 70% 27% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.