AIC New Open Challenge

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, September 19, 2021 at 3:00 PM

AIC FENCING - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
2 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
3 LI Matthew 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
3 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 92% 63% 21% 1%
5 HO Jia Le Sean 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
6 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
7 LIU Eric Y. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
8 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
9 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
10 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
11 PAN Henry 100% 98% 78% 34% 6% -
12 SHENG Chuxi 100% 65% 22% 3% - -
13 WANG Winston 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 1%
14 SONG Austin 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
15 SZEGO Bence P. 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
16 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 95% 63% 21% 3% -
17 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 3%
18 TANG August L. 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
19 BERNABE Rafael 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% -
20 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
21 JIANG Bowang 100% 33% 4% - - -
22 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
23 GALLUCH Peter G. 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% -
24 KAN Edward 100% 30% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.