USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, July 2, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
2 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 20%
3 CHU Audrey - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
3 BEI Karen - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
5 FELAND Alexandra 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
6 LEANG Priscilla Y. - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
7 MAO Amy - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
8 SMOTRITSKY Mia - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
9 DESAI Meera P. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
10 SEMIKIN Julia - 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5%
11 WITTE Vera 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
12 FILIPPOV Nika D. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
13 SMITH Grace L. - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
14 YU Nicole J. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
15 LEE Olivia 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
16 EDWARDS Auprell 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
17 CHEN Lefu - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
18 REID Sobia - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
19 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
20 HAFEEZ Hania 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
21 WONG Alexandra R. 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
22 LAN Alice S. 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
23 WITTER Catherine A. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
24 ZUHARS Renee A. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8%
25 RUNIONS Emersyn 1% 6% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
26 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
26 BUSH Emma 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
28 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
29 PAN Michelle 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
30 WANG Nora - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
31 DOUGLAS Julia F. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
32 ANDERSON Claire 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
33 LEUNG Natalie - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
34 DONDISCH Sophia 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
35 LEE Kaitlyn M. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
36 YOU Emily 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% -
37 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
38 CHA Eugenie 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
39 KALE Anika A. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 2%
40 HEPLER Sarah 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
41 NGUYEN Audrey 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
42 KUKVA Taisiya 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
43 SMUK Daria A. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
44 LEE Natasha 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
45 SONG Angela 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
46 HICKS Grace 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
47 TIMMONS Sarah J. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
48 FENG ge 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
49 POLANICHKA Nicole P. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
50 BAJAJ Nikita K. 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
51 FURMAN Maria 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
52 COBERT Helen G. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
53 KENT Elizabeth J. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
54 LONADIER Keira 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
55 DAVIS Jessica L. - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
56 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
57 BOTNER Olivia 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
58 PRIHODKO Nina 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
59 KORFONTA Jolie - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
60 BARBARA Camille 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
61 GUJJA Misha 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
62 GUMAGAY Erika L. - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
62 CAPELLUA Mariasole - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
64 LIN Ashley 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
65 SHARMA Sanvi 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 5% 1%
66 CHIRASHNYA Noya 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
66 DU Shunyi(Wendy) 10% 29% 33% 20% 7% 1% -
68 CHOI Grace 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
69 PAPADAKIS Lily - 1% 6% 20% 37% 30% 7%
70 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
71 LIN Elaine 2% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
72 SWEET Ryleigh E. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
73 WALLER Sarah I. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
74 MARCHANT Sandra M. 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
75 GAO Judy 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
76 KIZILBASH Zara 16% 37% 31% 13% 2% -
77 LIU Nicole 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
78 HUTCHINSON Valerie A. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
79 LU Junyao - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
80 PROKOPEAS Grace 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
81 LI Alisha 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
82 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
83 YAO Yilin 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
84 ZHU Serene M. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3% -
85 GITHENS Gracyn J. 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
86 LAWSON Marie A. - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
87 SPRINGER Sierra 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
88 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
89 RUMMEL Katherine E. 12% 31% 34% 18% 5% -
90 RATH Lauren N. 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
91 LI Charlotte 19% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
92 SINHA Zara 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
93 TAN Jocelyn 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
94 KELLY Jenna 6% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
95 MONTOYA Amy C. 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
96 HABERMAN Hailey 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
97 LAVERY Chloe K. < 1% 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
98 PINNAMANENI Drithi 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1%
99 STOECKEL Sofia I. 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
99 SHU Youshan 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.