USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, July 2, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
2 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
3 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31%
3 BEI Karen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
5 FELAND Alexandra 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
6 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
7 MAO Amy 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
8 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
9 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
10 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
11 WITTE Vera 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 15% 2%
12 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 24% 5%
13 SMITH Grace L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
14 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
15 LEE Olivia 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
16 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
17 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
18 REID Sobia 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
19 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
20 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
21 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
22 LAN Alice S. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9%
23 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 2%
24 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
25 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
26 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
26 BUSH Emma 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
28 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
29 PAN Michelle 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
30 WANG Nora 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
31 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 100% 96% 83% 56% 24% 5%
32 ANDERSON Claire 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
33 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
34 DONDISCH Sophia 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
35 LEE Kaitlyn M. 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
36 YOU Emily 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% -
37 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
38 CHA Eugenie 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
39 KALE Anika A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
40 HEPLER Sarah 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
41 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
42 KUKVA Taisiya 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
43 SMUK Daria A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
44 LEE Natasha 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
45 SONG Angela 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
46 HICKS Grace 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
47 TIMMONS Sarah J. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
48 FENG ge 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
49 POLANICHKA Nicole P. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
50 BAJAJ Nikita K. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
51 FURMAN Maria 100% 95% 74% 42% 15% 3% -
52 COBERT Helen G. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
53 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
54 LONADIER Keira 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
55 DAVIS Jessica L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
56 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
57 BOTNER Olivia 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1%
58 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
59 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
60 BARBARA Camille 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
61 GUJJA Misha 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
62 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
62 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 20% 3%
64 LIN Ashley 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
65 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% 1%
66 CHIRASHNYA Noya 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
66 DU Shunyi(Wendy) 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
68 CHOI Grace 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
69 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 7%
70 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
71 LIN Elaine 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
72 SWEET Ryleigh E. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
73 WALLER Sarah I. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2%
74 MARCHANT Sandra M. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
75 GAO Judy 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
76 KIZILBASH Zara 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
77 LIU Nicole 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
78 HUTCHINSON Valerie A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
79 LU Junyao 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
80 PROKOPEAS Grace 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
81 LI Alisha 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
82 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 100% 96% 77% 46% 17% 4% -
83 YAO Yilin 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
84 ZHU Serene M. 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
85 GITHENS Gracyn J. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
86 LAWSON Marie A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
87 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2%
88 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
89 RUMMEL Katherine E. 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
90 RATH Lauren N. 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
91 LI Charlotte 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
92 SINHA Zara 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
93 TAN Jocelyn 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
94 KELLY Jenna 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
95 MONTOYA Amy C. 100% 98% 86% 59% 28% 7% 1%
96 HABERMAN Hailey 100% 88% 53% 20% 4% - -
97 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
98 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
99 STOECKEL Sofia I. 100% 79% 34% 8% 1% - -
99 SHU Youshan 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.