USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Women's Épée

Monday, July 4, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Faith K. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
2 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
3 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
3 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
5 KETKAR Ketki - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
6 HURLEY Courtney L. - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
7 JOYCE Michaela - - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
8 HURLEY Kelley A. - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
9 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
10 HU Grace - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
11 ZUHARS Renee A. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
12 DING Jiahe (Heidi) - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
13 MACHULSKY Leehi - - 4% 15% 31% 35% 15%
14 FORNARIS Susana - - 1% 5% 26% 50% 19%
15 TOBY Natalia R. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
16 WU Amelia - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
17 BASSA Francesca A. - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
18 LIN Jessica Y. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
19 LIU Charlene (Kai) - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
20 NING Emma 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
21 LONADIER Keira 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
22 KORFONTA Jolie 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
23 GAJJALA Sharika R. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
24 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
25 KOWALSKY Rachel A. - 3% 13% 31% 33% 16% 3%
26 VERMEULE Emily - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
27 JAKEL Sophia N. - 1% 6% 21% 38% 30% 5%
28 GU Sarah - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
29 GRADY Miriam A. - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 28%
30 WATRALL Christina - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 12%
31 LEE Michelle J. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
32 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
33 GANDHI Sedna S. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
34 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
35 VERRET Alexanne - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 6%
36 KUZNETSOV Victoria - 1% 6% 24% 41% 24% 5%
37 O'DONNELL Amanda A. - 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 6%
37 CAPELLUA Mariasole 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
39 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 5%
39 OXENREIDER Tierna A. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
41 CEBULA Anne - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
42 NGUYEN Tallulah 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
43 RUNIONS Emersyn 5% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
44 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. - - 2% 11% 31% 41% 15%
45 MEHROTRA Anya 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
46 LUO Ashley 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
47 WU Fan 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
48 MCLANE Lauren 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
49 LIN Waiyuk 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
50 KIM Zoe L. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
51 LU Junyao 2% 13% 32% 33% 17% 4% -
52 CHIN Isabella - 1% 8% 23% 36% 25% 6%
53 BEI Karen - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
54 YAO Melinda 7% 28% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
55 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. - 6% 22% 38% 27% 6% -
56 MAO Amy 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
57 GAO Judy 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
58 LEE Sumin - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
59 CHEN Lefu 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
60 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
61 WANG Elizabeth 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
62 SWEET Ryleigh E. 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
63 WITTE Vera 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
64 XIAO Ruien 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 5% -
65 WANG Karen - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
66 CHU Audrey - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
67 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
68 YANG Alisa 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
69 TYLER Syd 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
70 FALLON Kyle R. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
71 SMOTRITSKY Mia 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
72 XUAN Nicole J. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
73 LI Alisha 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
74 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
75 LAVERY Chloe K. 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
76 LEUNG Natalie 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
77 LAN Alice S. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
78 CALDERA Lexi I. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
79 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
80 WEBER Nora 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
81 FENG ge 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
82 COBERT Helen G. 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
83 WELLS Tessa (Tesla) M. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
84 REID Sobia 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
85 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
86 SHU Youshan 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
87 LIN Katie Y. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 3%
88 YOU Emily 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
89 MUELLER Emma M. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
90 WANG Nora 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
90 LIU Christina A. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
92 YIN Julia 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
93 KALE Anika A. 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
93 ZIGALO Elizabeth 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
95 SWENSON Nikita G. 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
96 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 6% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
97 ZHANG Victoria R. 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
97 LU Shiqi 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
99 DOUGLAS Julia F. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
100 LURYE Sarah - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
101 FILIPPOV Nika D. 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
101 ISERT Sarah 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
103 SMITH Grace L. 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
104 KENT Elizabeth J. 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
105 LEANG Priscilla Y. 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
106 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
107 PADHYE Tanishka 2% 14% 32% 32% 15% 4% -
108 GUMAGAY Erika L. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
109 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
110 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
111 SCHMIDT Lori M. 4% 19% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
112 ASSADOURIAN Nouneh 17% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
113 WEISS Talia L. 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
113 PAPADAKIS Lily 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
115 HAFEEZ Hania 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
116 REID Anousheh 5% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
117 BOTNER Olivia 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
118 CHA Eugenie 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
119 SHEN Stephanie 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
120 BUSH Emma 18% 39% 31% 10% 1% - -
121 PEHLIVANI Zara 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
122 KETKAR Mallika 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
123 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley 15% 40% 33% 10% 2% - -
124 YU Nicole J. 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
125 LIN Ashley 49% 38% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.