USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Women's Épée

Monday, July 4, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
2 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
3 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
3 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
5 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
6 HURLEY Courtney L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
7 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
8 HURLEY Kelley A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
9 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
10 HU Grace 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
11 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
12 DING Jiahe (Heidi) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
13 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 15%
14 FORNARIS Susana 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 19%
15 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
16 WU Amelia 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
17 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
18 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
19 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
20 NING Emma 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
21 LONADIER Keira 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
22 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
23 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
24 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
25 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
26 VERMEULE Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
27 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 35% 5%
28 GU Sarah 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
29 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
30 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
31 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
32 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
33 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
34 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
35 VERRET Alexanne 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
36 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29% 5%
37 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
37 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 3% -
39 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 5%
39 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
41 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
42 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
43 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
44 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 15%
45 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
46 LUO Ashley 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
47 WU Fan 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
48 MCLANE Lauren 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
49 LIN Waiyuk 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
50 KIM Zoe L. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
51 LU Junyao 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
52 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
53 BEI Karen 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
54 YAO Melinda 100% 93% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
55 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7% -
56 MAO Amy 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
57 GAO Judy 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
58 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
59 CHEN Lefu 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
60 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
61 WANG Elizabeth 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
62 SWEET Ryleigh E. 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% - -
63 WITTE Vera 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
64 XIAO Ruien 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 6% -
65 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
66 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
67 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
68 YANG Alisa 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
69 TYLER Syd 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
70 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 4%
71 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
72 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
73 LI Alisha 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
74 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
75 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
76 LEUNG Natalie 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
77 LAN Alice S. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
78 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
79 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
80 WEBER Nora 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
81 FENG ge 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
82 COBERT Helen G. 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
83 WELLS Tessa (Tesla) M. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
84 REID Sobia 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
85 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
86 SHU Youshan 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
87 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
88 YOU Emily 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% - -
89 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
90 WANG Nora 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
90 LIU Christina A. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
92 YIN Julia 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 3% -
93 KALE Anika A. 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
93 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
95 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
96 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
97 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
97 LU Shiqi 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
99 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -
100 LURYE Sarah 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
101 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
101 ISERT Sarah 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
103 SMITH Grace L. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
104 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
105 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
106 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
107 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
108 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
109 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
110 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
111 SCHMIDT Lori M. 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
112 ASSADOURIAN Nouneh 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
113 WEISS Talia L. 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
113 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
115 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
116 REID Anousheh 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
117 BOTNER Olivia 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
118 CHA Eugenie 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
119 SHEN Stephanie 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
120 BUSH Emma 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% - -
121 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
122 KETKAR Mallika 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5% -
123 LEUNG Wan Kiu Hayley 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
124 YU Nicole J. 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
125 LIN Ashley 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.