USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Women's Foil

Monday, July 4, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. - - - - 8% 39% 53%
2 LUNG Katerina - - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
3 LESLIE Ryanne T. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
3 ZHANG Yunjia - - 1% 10% 44% 44%
5 FANG Sabrina - - - - 4% 28% 67%
6 LEE Alina - - - - 9% 44% 46%
7 CHUSID Renata M. - - - 1% 13% 49% 37%
8 PARK Rowan M. - - 4% 22% 47% 27%
9 PETROVA Kristina - - - - 5% 33% 61%
10 JING Emily - - - 1% 13% 49% 37%
11 LEE Brianna J. - - - 2% 17% 49% 31%
12 KIM Katherine - - - 3% 20% 48% 29%
13 EYER Hailey M. - - - 6% 31% 48% 15%
14 KOO Rachel A. - - - 2% 14% 46% 38%
15 LIU Jaelyn A. - 1% 8% 30% 43% 19%
16 HO Brianna W. - - 3% 19% 47% 32%
17 QIAN Crystal - - - 2% 15% 44% 40%
18 CHUSID Mikayla - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
19 SHEN Lydia - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
20 HE Elizabeth W. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
21 APELIAN Katherine - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
22 XUE Alanna L. - - 2% 14% 38% 39% 7%
23 ZHANG Alina C. - - - 6% 33% 45% 16%
24 ZHENG Ivy - - - - 7% 45% 48%
25 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
26 CASTANEDA Erika L. - - - 6% 25% 45% 24%
27 YU Lauren C. - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19% 2%
28 KNIGHT Skylar - - - 2% 18% 46% 34%
29 CHO Cameron S. - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
30 SENIC Adeline - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
31 PEVZNER Victoria - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
32 YANG Iris - 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% -
33 SHEN Sophia H. - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
34 WANG Ellen - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
35 GLASSON Sophia - 7% 27% 39% 22% 4% < 1%
36 GRIFFIN Emma G. - - - 1% 13% 53% 33%
37 FEDELI Caterina S. - - 5% 29% 46% 20%
38 RANDOLPH Piper - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
39 JO Mia C. - - - 2% 16% 46% 35%
39 TAN Kaitlyn N. - - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
41 CHENG Evelyn - - - - 4% 28% 68%
41 CAO Arianna L. - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
43 SERBAN Samantha M. - - 1% 10% 35% 41% 13%
44 BATRA Chaahat - - 5% 24% 42% 25% 4%
44 OUYANG Bridgette Z. - - - 7% 36% 42% 14%
46 JING Alexandra - - - 2% 18% 52% 28%
47 HUNG Juliana K. - - 1% 10% 36% 41% 13%
48 SHAW Kayla M. - - 1% 12% 38% 41% 8%
49 LI Rachel Y. - - 2% 16% 40% 34% 8%
50 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
51 CHEN Jessie S. - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
52 MILLER Naomi E. - - 2% 12% 35% 42% 10%
53 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - - 4% 20% 46% 30%
54 ZHENG Vivian - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
55 LEE Allison (Allie) - - 3% 19% 47% 31%
56 KOENIG Charlotte R. - - 3% 20% 51% 27%
57 MASSICK Laine - 2% 15% 39% 34% 10%
58 LI Phoebe J. - - 1% 14% 41% 35% 9%
59 OH Erin H. - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
60 KHOO Lauren A. - - 3% 21% 46% 26% 4%
61 SARTORI Taylor M. - - 4% 23% 50% 21% 2%
62 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia - 1% 10% 32% 38% 16% 2%
63 HSIEH Rebecca 3% 30% 43% 20% 4% - -
64 CHO Rebecca H. - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 3%
65 CHEN Jia P. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
66 ACHILOVA Feyza - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
67 GOOR Viviene E. 1% 8% 35% 40% 15% 2%
67 LEE Allison 17% 43% 30% 8% 1% -
69 CHEN Allison V. - 1% 10% 39% 39% 11%
70 LOCKE Savannah - 4% 18% 39% 32% 7%
71 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa - - 1% 11% 36% 40% 12%
72 LIU Joy Zhaoyi - 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
73 LEE Ariana - 6% 27% 42% 21% 4% -
74 WANDJI Anais - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
75 KIM Rachael - - - 1% 9% 38% 51%
76 DE LA CRUZ Eden - 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 1%
77 SHENG Chuxi - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7% 1%
78 DRAGNE Alexis D. 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
79 MI Aileen - 2% 15% 39% 36% 7% -
80 PENG Amber L. - 1% 7% 28% 43% 19% 2%
81 KOROL Neta - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 7%
82 DUAN Konnie - 2% 20% 45% 27% 6% -
83 WONG Sophia M. 1% 8% 28% 41% 19% 2% -
84 ZHAO Aileen Y. 1% 6% 24% 38% 24% 6% 1%
85 DEBACK Greta I. - - 2% 15% 37% 37% 9%
85 DAVIS Bonnie Z. - 2% 15% 39% 33% 10% 1%
87 LIU Angel(Daying) 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
88 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" - - 2% 15% 39% 36% 8%
89 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 4% 39% 40% 15% 2% - -
90 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 2%
91 KONG Chin-Yi - - 2% 19% 46% 33%
92 CHO Gracie L. 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
93 COOPER Piper W. 3% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
94 HWANG Alison 2% 18% 41% 30% 8% 1% -
95 WU Julianna Y. - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7% -
96 LEE Ji Ahn - 6% 29% 47% 16% 2% -
97 SEO IRENE Y. - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12% 1%
98 FUNG Emma 1% 9% 32% 43% 14% 1% -
99 JANG Kimberley - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
100 SUN Chien-Yu - 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
101 DU Hannah - 4% 24% 46% 22% 3% -
102 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca - 2% 14% 36% 35% 13% 2%
103 SONG Yuqiao Aprille - 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
104 SOOD Ishani S. - - - 3% 18% 46% 32%
105 SUN Ruoxi - 1% 10% 34% 42% 12% 1%
106 LUO Sandra J. - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
106 YANICELLI Sloane 24% 44% 26% 6% - - -
108 DAVIA Daniella V. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
109 TALAVERA Daena - - 2% 15% 41% 34% 8%
110 KONG Olivia - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
111 KETTELLE Molly 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% - -
112 TALWALKAR Apoorva 2% 15% 38% 33% 11% 1%
112 ORVANANOS Anice 1% 9% 32% 39% 16% 2%
114 PANT Anisha 4% 21% 39% 28% 7% 1%
115 UNGERER Frieda 44% 44% 11% 1% - -
116 HAYES Alyssa R. 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
117 HUANG NATALIE - 4% 26% 44% 22% 4% -
118 ZHAO Sophie L. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
119 COSTELLO Angeline S. - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8% 1%
119 PAHLAVI Dahlia - 1% 7% 25% 39% 23% 4%
121 LEE Lavender 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
122 CHEN Jasmine 40% 41% 15% 3% - - -
123 GUAN Sophie 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
124 FUNG Vera 36% 42% 18% 3% - -
125 ZHANG Eunice 13% 39% 35% 11% 1% -
126 ZHENG Julie 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
127 BOLES Sophia - 6% 35% 41% 15% 2% -
128 MI Anning 8% 32% 37% 19% 4% - -
129 XIANG Emma - 6% 34% 42% 15% 2% -
130 NIKOLIC Alexandra 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
131 SHIM Grace J. 1% 9% 40% 38% 11% 1% -
132 WU Kyra 3% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
133 ROY Layla 2% 15% 38% 36% 9% 1%
134 KANG Jiyoon 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
135 GUAN Sydney 39% 43% 16% 2% - - -
136 CHEN Chloe I. 5% 27% 42% 22% 3% -
137 FREEDMAN Miranda W. - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
138 CHANG Elizabeth 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% -
139 GU Emily 10% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
139 LAMBERT Mahala 5% 24% 40% 26% 6% -
141 MEI Sarah 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
142 MEYER Claudia 15% 40% 33% 11% 2% -
143 JIANG Yangying (Amanda) 1% 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% -
144 NISSINOFF Alexandra - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9% 1%
144 O'NEIL Neve - 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
146 SUH Kailey E. 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2% -
147 LEVY Avery 13% 41% 34% 11% 1% - -
147 BIODROWICZ Julia 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
149 MORADI Raiyan N. 1% 10% 32% 40% 16% 1% -
150 SHIH Diane - 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
151 KOROL Dana - 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
152 SIMONOV Dasha 1% 9% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
153 HOBSON Ava 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
154 PAULUS Isabella 31% 45% 20% 3% - - -
155 ASCHETTINO Aurora 2% 17% 48% 27% 5% - -
156 FOURNET-FAYARD Yaretzi 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1% -
157 ZHANG Selena 7% 58% 29% 5% - - -
158 HSIUNG Samantha 5% 29% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
159 CATARI Pahola 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% - -
160 PATTERSON Natalia 7% 33% 43% 16% 1% - -
161 LIU Sophia 2% 25% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
162 NEWMAN Ariel 41% 44% 14% 2% - - -
163 LEE Fiona E. 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
164 SUN Emily 31% 47% 20% 2% - -
165 YIN Helen 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
166 CASTANEDA Keira 23% 46% 27% 4% - -
167 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 1% 9% 35% 40% 14% 2%
168 FERNANDES Thea 9% 33% 39% 16% 3% -
169 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 10% 37% 41% 11% 1% -
170 MUSTO Isabella 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
171 WEBB Ella 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
172 SCARLETT Skye 8% 44% 36% 11% 1% - -
172 STRUGAR Steliana 3% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
174 QUINN Anna 49% 43% 8% - - - -
175 SCHMIDT Victoria 11% 37% 38% 13% 2% - -
176 SHUM Elizabeth 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
176 LAI Sophia 13% 45% 33% 8% 1% - -
178 QIAN Zhiyan 6% 31% 44% 17% 2% - -
179 HAN Ashley 8% 33% 42% 16% 2% - -
180 SHA Yi Ling 1% 14% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
181 ZULUETA Catherine 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
182 WANG Brina 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
183 EVELAND Zoe 40% 49% 11% 1% - - -
183 NEUMAN Sophie 42% 43% 14% 1% - - -
185 MU Allison 19% 46% 27% 6% 1% - -
186 RODRIGUEZ Akemi 15% 46% 30% 8% 1% - -
187 ROMERO Sophia 11% 51% 30% 7% 1% - -
188 PARK Caitlyn 21% 46% 27% 5% - - -
189 LUH Mia P. 16% 45% 31% 6% - - -
190 VERGARA Jaden Reese 71% 26% 3% - - - -
191 CHARALEL Jessica 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
191 HAN Crystal 24% 44% 26% 6% - -
193 LIN Victoria T. 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
193 TRACZ Calleigh D. 27% 51% 19% 2% - -
195 DING Abigail < 1% 3% 20% 41% 28% 7% -
196 TAN Clarisse 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
197 KNOEPFFLER ANDREA V. 39% 43% 15% 2% - -
198 SHUM Maya 24% 43% 26% 6% - - -
198 PARK Leah 18% 43% 31% 7% - - -
200 ROHRING Anna 53% 39% 8% 1% - - -
200 ZHUANG Sophie 21% 44% 28% 6% 1% - -
200 ZHENG Zoe 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
200 MORALES Paulina 34% 46% 18% 2% - - -
204 NIRGUDE Siddhi 58% 36% 6% - - - -
205 MONSALVE Ainara 35% 44% 18% 3% - -
206 CABALU Alaina 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
206 WIERENGA Esther 78% 20% 2% - - - -
208 HSIEH Sabrina 72% 26% 2% - - - -
209 ZAMELIS Madelyn 39% 50% 10% 1% - - -
210 XU Christine 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
210 YERRAMSETTI Hansika 85% 15% 1% - - - -
210 HERNANDEZ Melany 83% 16% 1% - - - -
213 NORTH Zoe M. 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
214 WANG Celine S. 27% 44% 24% 5% - - -
215 LENZ Zoe N. 26% 53% 19% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.