USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Women's Foil

Monday, July 4, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 53%
2 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
3 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
3 ZHANG Yunjia 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 44%
5 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
6 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90% 46%
7 CHUSID Renata M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 37%
8 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
9 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
10 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 37%
11 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 31%
12 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 29%
13 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 15%
14 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 38%
15 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
16 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
17 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
18 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
19 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
20 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
21 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
22 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 7%
23 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61% 16%
24 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 48%
25 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
26 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
27 YU Lauren C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
28 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
29 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
30 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
31 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
32 YANG Iris 100% 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
33 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
34 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
35 GLASSON Sophia 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 5% < 1%
36 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 33%
37 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 20%
38 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
39 JO Mia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
39 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 26%
41 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
41 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
43 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 13%
44 BATRA Chaahat 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 4%
44 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 56% 14%
46 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 28%
47 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 13%
48 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 8%
49 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
50 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
51 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
52 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 10%
53 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
54 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
55 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
56 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 27%
57 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 10%
58 LI Phoebe J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 44% 9%
59 OH Erin H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
60 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 30% 4%
61 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 24% 2%
62 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
63 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 97% 67% 24% 4% - -
64 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 3%
65 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
66 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
67 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 99% 92% 57% 16% 2%
67 LEE Allison 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% -
69 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 99% 89% 49% 11%
70 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
71 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 12%
72 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
73 LEE Ariana 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 4% -
74 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
75 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
76 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 1%
77 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1%
78 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
79 MI Aileen 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 7% -
80 PENG Amber L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 21% 2%
81 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
82 DUAN Konnie 100% 100% 98% 78% 33% 6% -
83 WONG Sophia M. 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 3% -
84 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 7% 1%
85 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 9%
85 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 11% 1%
87 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
88 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 8%
89 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 96% 58% 18% 3% - -
90 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 2%
91 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 33%
92 CHO Gracie L. 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
93 COOPER Piper W. 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
94 HWANG Alison 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1% -
95 WU Julianna Y. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% -
96 LEE Ji Ahn 100% 100% 94% 65% 18% 2% -
97 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
98 FUNG Emma 100% 99% 91% 59% 15% 1% -
99 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
100 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
101 DU Hannah 100% 100% 95% 72% 26% 3% -
102 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 2%
103 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
104 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
105 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 13% 1%
106 LUO Sandra J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
106 YANICELLI Sloane 100% 76% 32% 6% - - -
108 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
109 TALAVERA Daena 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 8%
110 KONG Olivia 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
111 KETTELLE Molly 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% - -
112 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
112 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 2%
114 PANT Anisha 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
115 UNGERER Frieda 100% 56% 11% 1% - -
116 HAYES Alyssa R. 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
117 HUANG NATALIE 100% 100% 96% 71% 27% 5% -
118 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
119 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8% 1%
119 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
121 LEE Lavender 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
122 CHEN Jasmine 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
123 GUAN Sophie 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
124 FUNG Vera 100% 64% 21% 4% - -
125 ZHANG Eunice 100% 87% 47% 12% 1% -
126 ZHENG Julie 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
127 BOLES Sophia 100% 100% 93% 58% 17% 2% -
128 MI Anning 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
129 XIANG Emma 100% 100% 94% 60% 17% 2% -
130 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
131 SHIM Grace J. 100% 99% 90% 50% 13% 1% -
132 WU Kyra 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
133 ROY Layla 100% 98% 84% 46% 10% 1%
134 KANG Jiyoon 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
135 GUAN Sydney 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
136 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
137 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
138 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
139 GU Emily 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
139 LAMBERT Mahala 100% 95% 72% 32% 6% -
141 MEI Sarah 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
142 MEYER Claudia 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% -
143 JIANG Yangying (Amanda) 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
144 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9% 1%
144 O'NEIL Neve 100% 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
146 SUH Kailey E. 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
147 LEVY Avery 100% 87% 46% 12% 1% - -
147 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
149 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 1% -
150 SHIH Diane 100% 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1%
151 KOROL Dana 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
152 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 99% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
153 HOBSON Ava 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
154 PAULUS Isabella 100% 69% 24% 3% - - -
155 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 98% 81% 33% 5% - -
156 FOURNET-FAYARD Yaretzi 100% 97% 79% 39% 9% 1% -
157 ZHANG Selena 100% 93% 34% 5% - - -
158 HSIUNG Samantha 100% 95% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
159 CATARI Pahola 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
160 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 93% 60% 17% 1% - -
161 LIU Sophia 100% 98% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
162 NEWMAN Ariel 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
163 LEE Fiona E. 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
164 SUN Emily 100% 69% 22% 2% - -
165 YIN Helen 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
166 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 77% 31% 4% - -
167 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 99% 91% 56% 16% 2%
168 FERNANDES Thea 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% -
169 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 90% 53% 12% 1% -
170 MUSTO Isabella 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
171 WEBB Ella 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2% -
172 SCARLETT Skye 100% 92% 48% 12% 1% - -
172 STRUGAR Steliana 100% 97% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
174 QUINN Anna 100% 51% 8% - - - -
175 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 89% 53% 14% 2% - -
176 SHUM Elizabeth 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
176 LAI Sophia 100% 87% 42% 9% 1% - -
178 QIAN Zhiyan 100% 94% 62% 19% 2% - -
179 HAN Ashley 100% 92% 59% 18% 2% - -
180 SHA Yi Ling 100% 99% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
181 ZULUETA Catherine 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
182 WANG Brina 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
183 EVELAND Zoe 100% 60% 12% 1% - - -
183 NEUMAN Sophie 100% 58% 15% 1% - - -
185 MU Allison 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% - -
186 RODRIGUEZ Akemi 100% 85% 39% 9% 1% - -
187 ROMERO Sophia 100% 89% 38% 8% 1% - -
188 PARK Caitlyn 100% 79% 32% 5% - - -
189 LUH Mia P. 100% 84% 38% 7% - - -
190 VERGARA Jaden Reese 100% 29% 3% - - - -
191 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
191 HAN Crystal 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% -
193 LIN Victoria T. 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
193 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 73% 22% 3% - -
195 DING Abigail 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 7% -
196 TAN Clarisse 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
197 KNOEPFFLER ANDREA V. 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
198 SHUM Maya 100% 76% 32% 6% - - -
198 PARK Leah 100% 82% 39% 8% 1% - -
200 ROHRING Anna 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
200 ZHUANG Sophie 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% - -
200 ZHENG Zoe 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
200 MORALES Paulina 100% 66% 20% 2% - - -
204 NIRGUDE Siddhi 100% 42% 6% - - - -
205 MONSALVE Ainara 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
206 CABALU Alaina 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
206 WIERENGA Esther 100% 22% 2% - - - -
208 HSIEH Sabrina 100% 28% 2% - - - -
209 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 61% 11% 1% - - -
210 XU Christine 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
210 YERRAMSETTI Hansika 100% 15% 1% - - - -
210 HERNANDEZ Melany 100% 17% 1% - - - -
213 NORTH Zoe M. 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
214 WANG Celine S. 100% 73% 30% 6% - - -
215 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 74% 21% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.