Cobra Challenge Div 1A/Div 2 ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, December 29, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Jersey City, NJ - Jersey City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUNCAN Corwin - - - - 1% 16% 83%
2 ELSAYED Ahmed - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
3 O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
3 DOLGONOS Mark - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
5 HILLYER Rourke W. - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
6 SPITERI Gareth J. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
7 ZHENG Hagen - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
8 ZUCKER Noah L. - - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
9 CHA Russell W. 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
10 MCKINLEY Liam K. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
11 DELANEY Alexander D. - - 4% 16% 34% 35% 11%
12 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
13 YOON Sungho 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
14 SLAVINSKIY Alan - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
15 KANG Michael H. - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
16 BORATIN Daniel I. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
17 SMITH Justin C. 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
18 BAKER Kevin G. 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
19 PAVLENISHVILI David G. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
20 GANA Jorge A. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
21 MOTIR Lucas D. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
22 SANDERS Ian W. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
23 KIM Derek D. 1% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
24 KAMBESELES Peter G. - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
25 LEE Timothy S. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
26 RODELL Hunter C. 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% -
27 PANTEL Adam S. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
28 GANA Thomas A. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
29 YOON Nathan 4% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
30 MAURER Chip P. - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
31 GIBSON Tristan C. 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
32 DOAN Joseph M. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
33 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
34 TIRRELL Justin J. 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
35 HSING Lucas W. - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8% -
36 ZHANG Matthew 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
37 MOYSE Alexander S. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
38 BHATNAGAR Nishay V. 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
39 ALVIOR Joshua Aethan B. 8% 30% 38% 19% 3% -
40 WOLOSINSKI Peter 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
41 BANYON-MRAK Aiden J. 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 3% -
42 KOKENGE Clark - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
43 CHEN Eric Y. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
44 PARK Minchan 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
45 CONNELL Jay - 6% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
46 KAMBESELES Jack M. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
47 BOWERMAN Lucas A. - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
48 KUMAR Anitya 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
49 GANA Jr Jorge M. - 3% 17% 40% 34% 6%
50 POLKOVSKY Dylan S. 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
51 RA Jr. Daniel M. 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
52 KIM Juni C. - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
53 CARVALHO Daniel S. - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
54 SHENG Patrick Y. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
55 BARREIRO Darren 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
56 RITCHIE Patrick Q. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
57 COHEN Jared E. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
58 ELAMURUGAN Kavin 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
59 KRENZ Michal A. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
60 YI Kyle 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
61 YOSHIDA Stephen R. - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
62 GREGORY Abram 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
63 MUFEL Andrew 9% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
64 KIM Minjun 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% -
65 MRAK Michael R. 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
66 GIBSON Nowell L. 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
67 ZARETSKY Daniel A. 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
68 CHOUDHARY Grisham 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
69 HEKMAT Sina R. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
70 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
71 MA Anthony 22% 46% 28% 4% - -
72 NIXON Christian A. 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
73 WANG Albert 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
74 BAGLEY Ryan P. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
75 SAWASDIKOSOL Sansana 38% 44% 15% 2% - - -
76 MCDARBY Kieron M. 4% 24% 37% 25% 9% 1% -
77 RITCHIE Mark T. 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
78 LI Jeffrey 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.