Cobra Challenge Div 1A/Div 2 ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, December 29, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Jersey City, NJ - Jersey City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUNCAN Corwin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
2 ELSAYED Ahmed 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
3 O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
3 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 10%
5 HILLYER Rourke W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
6 SPITERI Gareth J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
7 ZHENG Hagen 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
8 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
9 CHA Russell W. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
10 MCKINLEY Liam K. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
11 DELANEY Alexander D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
12 SJOSTEDT Jacob H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
13 YOON Sungho 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6%
14 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
15 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
16 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
17 SMITH Justin C. 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% 1%
18 BAKER Kevin G. 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
19 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
20 GANA Jorge A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
21 MOTIR Lucas D. 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
22 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
23 KIM Derek D. 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 1%
24 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
25 LEE Timothy S. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
26 RODELL Hunter C. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
27 PANTEL Adam S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
28 GANA Thomas A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
29 YOON Nathan 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
30 MAURER Chip P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
31 GIBSON Tristan C. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
32 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
33 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
34 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
35 HSING Lucas W. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% -
36 ZHANG Matthew 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
37 MOYSE Alexander S. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
38 BHATNAGAR Nishay V. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
39 ALVIOR Joshua Aethan B. 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
40 WOLOSINSKI Peter 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
41 BANYON-MRAK Aiden J. 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3% -
42 KOKENGE Clark 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 7%
43 CHEN Eric Y. 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
44 PARK Minchan 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
45 CONNELL Jay 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
46 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
47 BOWERMAN Lucas A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
48 KUMAR Anitya 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
49 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
50 POLKOVSKY Dylan S. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
51 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
52 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
53 CARVALHO Daniel S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
54 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
55 BARREIRO Darren 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 1%
56 RITCHIE Patrick Q. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
57 COHEN Jared E. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
58 ELAMURUGAN Kavin 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
59 KRENZ Michal A. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
60 YI Kyle 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
61 YOSHIDA Stephen R. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
62 GREGORY Abram 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
63 MUFEL Andrew 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
64 KIM Minjun 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
65 MRAK Michael R. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
66 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
67 ZARETSKY Daniel A. 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
68 CHOUDHARY Grisham 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
69 HEKMAT Sina R. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
70 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
71 MA Anthony 100% 78% 33% 5% - -
72 NIXON Christian A. 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
73 WANG Albert 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
74 BAGLEY Ryan P. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
75 SAWASDIKOSOL Sansana 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
76 MCDARBY Kieron M. 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
77 RITCHIE Mark T. 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
78 LI Jeffrey 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.