USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Women's Saber

Tuesday, July 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
2 POSSICK Lola P. - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
3 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
3 LINDER Kara E. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
5 RUSSO Francesca - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
6 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
7 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
8 GREENBAUM Atara R. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
9 KIM Zoe - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
10 KOVACS Sophia - 3% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
11 GOUHIN Chloe - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
12 PAK Kaitlyn - - 2% 10% 33% 43% 13%
13 ANGLADE Alexis C. - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
14 KONG Vera - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
15 ANDRES Charmaine G. 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
16 XIKES Katherine E. 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
17 JOHNSON Honor - - - 4% 32% 64%
18 LU Vivian Y. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
19 MILLER Sky - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
20 LEE Alexandra B. - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
21 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. - - - - 4% 25% 71%
22 TAO Hannah J. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
23 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
23 BOIS Adele - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
25 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 14%
26 SHEALY Maggie - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
27 OISHI Megumi - 1% 6% 30% 49% 14%
28 ANDRES Katherine A. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 2%
29 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
30 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 13%
31 LU Elaine 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
32 PEDRAZA Regina 3% 19% 39% 30% 8% -
33 TONG Kunling - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
34 CARVALHO Isabela A. - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 3%
35 KAKHIANI-MECKLING Teodora - - 1% 4% 18% 40% 37%
36 JENKINS Ryan J. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
37 LIN Audrey J. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
38 WIGGERS Susan Q. 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
39 MIKA Veronica - 5% 20% 38% 28% 8% 1%
40 HILD Nisha 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
41 SAYLES Nina R. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
42 JUNG Irene 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
43 CAO Stephanie X. 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
44 CHIN Erika J. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
45 TZOU Alexandra - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
46 MARSEE Samantha - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
47 LIGH Erenei J. 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
48 SZETO Chloe - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
49 FEARNS Zara A. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
50 SHOMAN Jenna - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
51 VADASZ Ibla P. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
52 CODY Alexandra C. 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
53 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
54 PAUL Lila 4% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
55 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
56 JULIEN Michelle 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
57 HE Charlotte 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
58 THEODORE Maria A. - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
59 BLUM Leah I. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
60 KER Grace 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
61 GUTHIKONDA Nithya - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
62 CHIN Sophia J. 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
63 GHAYALOD Reya 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
64 BUHAY Rachel T. 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
65 SHI Cathleen 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
66 CHEN Xiaohan 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
67 LI Amanda C. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
68 DUCKETT Madison 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
69 SADIK HANA 9% 27% 33% 22% 8% 1% -
70 JOHNSON Lauren 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
71 DRAGON Rainer 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
72 YODER Bridget H. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
73 FREEDMAN Janna N. - 1% 7% 20% 33% 29% 10%
74 LEE Hannah 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
75 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
76 LI Victoria J. 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
77 LACSON Sarah 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
78 SHEARER Natalie E. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
79 CALLAHAN Chase J. 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
80 KIM Marley I. 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
81 NEWELL Alexia C. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
82 KRASTEV Minna 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
83 SATHYANATH Kailing 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
84 NATH Trisha 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
85 HARRISON Imogen N. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 6%
86 OLSEN Natalie J. 2% 12% 31% 36% 18% 2%
87 TONG Jessie 24% 44% 26% 6% - -
88 MCKEE Brynnley 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
89 PALEO Gabriella 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
90 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 9% 31% 38% 18% 4% - -
91 PRIEUR Lauren 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
92 LIU Sophie 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
93 GORMAN Victoria M. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
93 YANG Ashley M. 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 3% -
95 SUN Alyssa 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
96 XI Shining 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 5% -
97 NATHANSON Sammy E. 5% 24% 41% 26% 4% -
98 XIAO julie 18% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
99 TIBURCIO Diana 6% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1%
100 BROWN Emma 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
101 BILILIES Sophia 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
102 LU Amy 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
103 GREENBAUM Ella K. 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
104 ALCEBAR Kayla 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
105 SINHA Anika 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
105 FANG Victoria W. 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
105 BEVACQUA Aria F. 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
108 GHOSH Priyanka - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
108 NI Sharon 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
110 ERIKSON Kira R. 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
110 NEIBART Fiona 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
112 CHIANG Emily 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
113 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
114 ENDO Miyuki N. 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
114 YANG Lea 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
116 BALAKUMARAN Maya 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
116 BARNOVITZ Maya 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
118 HWANG Gabriela M. 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
119 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
120 YANG Angelina LeLe 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
121 YUAN Greta 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
122 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
122 LEE Sophia 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
124 WEI Vivian W. 13% 37% 34% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.