Event Results
USA Fencing National Championships & July ChallengeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WATRALL Rick | V D V V V | V V V V V | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 2 | RICHARDS Dick | V V D V V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | DRAGONETTI Walter E. | D D V V V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| 3 | JENSEN David | V D V D V V | V V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 5 | MARIANI Lou | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 6 | RANES Evan | V V V D V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 7 | VARNEY John R. | D V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 8 | GLASS Timothy C. | V D V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 9 | PERKA Michael | V V V V D V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 10 | HAYENGA Gary M. | V V V V V D | V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 11 | BAXTER Daniel J. | V V V D V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 12 | WHEELER Mark C. | V V D V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 13 | EVANS Allen L. | V V V V D D | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 14 | NIXON Mark | V D D V V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 15 | KAROLAK Dale W. | D V D V D V | V V D | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| 16 | KLEIN Johannes | V V D D D V | V V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 17 | FANGMAN Daniel L. | V D V V V V | D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 18 | HAGEN Christopher (Chris) L. | V V V V D | D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 19 | DELGADO Jr. Eli M. | D V V V V D | D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 20 | HANAHAN Thomas M. | V D D V V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 21 | SCHINDLER Sergey M. | D V V V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 22 | SCOTT George R. | D V V D V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 23 | MCTIGUE J. Michael | D V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 24 | SWANN William A. | V V D V D | V D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 25 | SZOKOLAY Robert E. | D D V V V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 26 | MASE James B. | D V V D V D | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 27 | SIMMONS Matthew C. | V D V D V D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 28 | DOWNEY Gerard C. | D V D V V D | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 29 | SWANSON Dave | D D D V V | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 30 | HENZLER Thomas A. | D V V D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 31 | WAGMAN Robert S. | V D D D D V | V D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 32 | ALTMAN Jeff H. | D V D D D | V D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 33 | KRUGER Mark | V D D D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 34 | ALEXANDER Chuck | V D V D D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 35 | VAN DER WEGE Gary M. | D D D D V V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 36 | POPOVICI Alexander M. | D V D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 37 | LANDIS Geoffrey A. | V D D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 38 | SIEDOW Jeffrey | D V D D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 39 | STONE Ken | D D V D D D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 40 | TIERNEY Luke | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 40 | GROSS Louis A. | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 42 | MELCHER Charles | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 43 | JORGENSEN Jay | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 43 | MYERS Brent M. | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 45 | MITCHELL Matthew D. | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |