Minneapolis, MN, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WATRALL Rick | V D V V V | V V V V V | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 2 | RICHARDS Dick | V V D V V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | DRAGONETTI Walter E. | D D V V V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| 3 | JENSEN David | V D V D V V | V V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 5 | MARIANI Lou | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 6 | RANES Evan | V V V D V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 7 | VARNEY John R. | D V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 8 | GLASS Timothy C. | V D V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 9 | PERKA Michael | V V V V D V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 10 | HAYENGA Gary M. | V V V V V D | V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 11 | BAXTER Daniel J. | V V V D V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 12 | WHEELER Mark C. | V V D V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 13 | EVANS Allen L. | V V V V D D | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 14 | NIXON Mark | V D D V V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 15 | KAROLAK Dale W. | D V D V D V | V V D | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| 16 | KLEIN Johannes | V V D D D V | V V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 17 | FANGMAN Daniel L. | V D V V V V | D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 18 | HAGEN Christopher (Chris) L. | V V V V D | D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 19 | DELGADO Jr. Eli M. | D V V V V D | D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 20 | HANAHAN Thomas M. | V D D V V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 21 | SCHINDLER Sergey M. | D V V V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 22 | SCOTT George R. | D V V D V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 23 | MCTIGUE J. Michael | D V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 24 | SWANN William A. | V V D V D | V D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 25 | SZOKOLAY Robert E. | D D V V V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 26 | MASE James B. | D V V D V D | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 27 | SIMMONS Matthew C. | V D V D V D | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 28 | DOWNEY Gerard C. | D V D V V D | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 29 | SWANSON Dave | D D D V V | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 30 | HENZLER Thomas A. | D V V D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 31 | WAGMAN Robert S. | V D D D D V | V D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 32 | ALTMAN Jeff H. | D V D D D | V D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 33 | KRUGER Mark | V D D D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 34 | ALEXANDER Chuck | V D V D D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 35 | VAN DER WEGE Gary M. | D D D D V V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 36 | POPOVICI Alexander M. | D V D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 37 | LANDIS Geoffrey A. | V D D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 38 | SIEDOW Jeffrey | D V D D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 39 | STONE Ken | D D V D D D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 40 | TIERNEY Luke | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 40 | GROSS Louis A. | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 42 | MELCHER Charles | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 43 | JORGENSEN Jay | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 43 | MYERS Brent M. | D D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 45 | MITCHELL Matthew D. | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.