USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-10 Women's Foil

Monday, July 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
2 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
3 LIU Enjia sherry 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
5 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
6 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 27%
7 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
8 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
9 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
10 HAN Gian 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
11 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 78%
12 TAO Ann 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
13 SIROTA Francis 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
14 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8%
15 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
16 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 7%
17 BING Charlotte 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
18 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
19 CHAN Ella 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
20 LIN Yunong 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
21 MARTIN Sloan 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
22 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 62%
23 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
24 CASHMAN Hailey 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
25 LI Olivia 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
26 CHAN Mila 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
27 VENZON Makena Jane 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
28 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
29 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
30 LIU Ariana 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
31 HAN Mia 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
32 SALMI-BYDALEK Ada 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
33 WANG Joanna 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
34 WANG DINA C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
35 WOODLEY Isabella 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 9%
36 THERON Zoe 100% 100% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
37 WU Elynna 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
37 FEDER Acadia 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
39 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
40 ZEE Savannah 100% 97% 79% 40% 8% -
40 LI savannah 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 4%
42 LUCAS Ava 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
43 DENG Claire 100% 75% 23% 3% - -
44 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
45 ZAHRAN Emily 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
46 OS Danielle 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
47 ZHANG Zoey 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
48 ZHANG Constance 100% 100% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
49 UHLIG Natalie 100% 95% 71% 29% 5% -
50 BO Iris 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% -
51 HOM Avery 100% 85% 44% 12% 1% -
52 LI Alice 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
53 TULYAG Sayda 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
54 LIN isabella 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 4%
55 LI Joy 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
56 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
57 RAFFAELE Nancy 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
58 BOIKE Lucille 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
59 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
60 KIM Sophia 100% 98% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
61 WU Allison 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
62 LI Doreen 100% 87% 49% 14% 1% -
63 MORTENSEN Carissa 100% 100% 88% 55% 19% 3%
64 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 58% 14% 1% - -
65 HUSSAIN Maya 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
66 GOITIA Genevieve 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
67 LIN Katrina 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
68 WANG Doreen 100% 87% 46% 10% - -
69 YU Sophie 100% 95% 70% 27% 2% -
70 SHUSTA Lily 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
71 BAULIN Zoya 100% 97% 74% 30% 3% -
72 HUGHES Olivia 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% -
73 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
74 CHANG Lydia 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
75 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 99% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
75 LEE Zoe 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
77 BEHL Alessandra 100% 87% 49% 15% 3% - -
78 LIU Angelina 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
79 YIN Chloe 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
80 KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily 100% 99% 88% 51% 14% 1%
81 LLOYD Bianca 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% -
82 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
83 KNAPP Isabella 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% -
84 HUANG Natalie 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 4%
85 WONG charlotte 100% 52% 11% 1% - -
86 RAUCH Iris 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
87 LING Camryn 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% -
88 KIM Alison 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
89 LISKA Sofia 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
90 HOM Emma 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
90 LI Emma Jing 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
92 DUVVA Sanika 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
93 CHIN Riley 100% 37% 6% - - - -
94 WANG Christina 100% 24% 2% - - - -
95 TEPMAN Zoey 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
95 LIN Zhishan 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.