Cherry Blossom ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, April 2, 2022 at 1:00 PM

University of Maryland, College Park Campus - Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENG Leo 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
2 LEE Justin 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
3 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
3 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
5 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
6 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
7 DE LA FUENTE Diego 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49%
8 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
9 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 5% < 1%
10 WOODWARD Dylan P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
11 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
12 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
13 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33% 4%
14 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 93% 64% 18% 2% -
15 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
16 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
17 MATT Chris 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 17%
18 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
19 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
20 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
21 ZHOU James Y. 100% 87% 49% 13% 2% -
22 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
23 BAKER Keith L. 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2%
24 LIN Felix 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
25 OTT Alexander 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% -
26 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
27 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 87% 46% 12% 1% - -
28 CLARK Keagan 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
29 ZHAO Anthony 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
30 PATRICK Timothy M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
31 SRERE Mark A. 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9%
32 OLIVER Isaac 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
33 KLEBS Robert 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% - -
34 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% - -
35 JENSBY Jason 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
36 NOVEY Eric 100% 95% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
37 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
38 FALVEY Brian 100% 88% 49% 11% 1% - -
39 MOLDABEK-MACHADO Aron 100% 33% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.