Fairfax Challenge Y8

Y-8 Men's Épée

Sunday, May 15, 2022 at 10:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
2 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
3 LUO Alexander 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
3 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 2%
5 KANG Ihan 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
6 NOOL Aaron 100% 92% 61% 20% 3% -
7 KIM Siwoo 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 1%
8 FERREIRA DE MELO Martin 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 4%
9 TAO Bryan 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
10 YI Joshua 100% 49% 10% 1% -
11 CHEN Daniel 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
12 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
13 SHAYAKHMETOV Maxim 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
14 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
15 MA yuwei 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
16 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
17 HUYNH Matthew 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
17 LIU Alex 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
19 ELMARSAFI Wissam 100% 57% 15% 1% < 1% -
20 YOU Emmanuel 100% 100% 89% 53% 12% 1%
21 YAO Aiden 100% 99% 82% 42% 9%
22 SHAO Mason 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
23 CHA Aiden 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
24 MAZAHERI John 100% 100% 95% 66% 24% 3%
25 PARK Ethan 100% 69% 25% 5% - -
26 DANILENKO Daniel 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
27 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 99% 77% 32% 4%
28 YAO Irvine 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
29 ZHAO Brandon 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.