12th Annual Yellow Jacket Open

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 26, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Georgia Tech Campus Recreation Center - Atlanta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHU Charlie - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
2 ARDOIN Cameron - - - 2% 16% 42% 40%
3 HARDISON Terry (Reno) - 2% 15% 43% 40%
3 DELARUE Nelson Y. - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
5 AN Damon - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
6 SILVA Daniel - - - 1% 17% 49% 33%
7 JARDIM Kyle A. - - 4% 30% 66%
9 SEOL Kyung - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
10 BURLESON Aidan J. 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
11 GRAHAM Ian 2% 14% 40% 35% 9%
12 NORTON Benjamin 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
14 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU Alexandra 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
15 BALLOU Johnathan - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
16 THACKERAY Caden 28% 44% 23% 4% -
17 BOWMAN Tamara E. 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% < 1% -
18 QI Parker - 2% 11% 32% 38% 15% 2%
19 CROWLEY James - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
20 JAYASANKAR Hari - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
21 BRUNER Thomas - 1% 9% 30% 41% 17% 2%
21 HAGEN Samuel - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 5%
23 MUSSELMAN Matthew 3% 22% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
24 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
25 TRUBEY Elise - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
26 ORLOFSKY Sydney - 4% 22% 43% 26% 5% -
27 WOLF Gabriel - 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4%
28 GIBBS Mason 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
29 SHANKWILER Christopher - - 4% 24% 41% 26% 5%
30 CHRISTY Alex 3% 25% 40% 25% 6% - -
31 PROUDNIK Anthony 1% 27% 51% 19% 1%
32 HARKONEN Eemil 41% 40% 15% 3% - -
33 MERRIMAN Morgan 10% 34% 38% 16% 2%
34 BELL Liam 2% 19% 48% 28% 3%
35 AVIDANO Mason 2% 22% 50% 23% 3%
36 RYAN Alyssa 8% 36% 38% 15% 2% - -
37 NAWAZ Taimoor - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19% 2%
38 MCCLURE Morgan 13% 43% 34% 10% 1% - -
39 SCHIPPER Bonnie 2% 20% 44% 29% 4% -
40 RUCK VEGA Alejandro 8% 32% 41% 18% 1%
41 ALEXANDER Xander 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
42 STRAW Miles 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
43 WEAVER Charles 3% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1% -
44 PRUITT Jadie 10% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
45 BRUCE Naomi 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% - -
46 BRANNER Christian 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% - -
46 CROSS Phoenix 20% 45% 27% 6% 1% - -
48 HARPER Rebecca 69% 27% 3% - -
48 ADAMSON Garren 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1%
50 SHAFER Genine 14% 40% 34% 11% 1% - -
52 STEWART Madeline 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
53 MEYERS Lucas 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.