Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Friday, March 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
2 AL-NASSER Mahmoud 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
3 CROMPTON Adam C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
5 SCHARDINE James 100% 99% 91% 61% 19% 2%
6 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
7 PAN Alex 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
8 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
9 REN Richard 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
10 STREB JR. Joseph T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
11 MURZYN III Cj 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
12 FISIC Vasilije 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
13 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 98% 74% 33% 7% 1%
14 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 18%
15 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
16 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
17 AKS Ari 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
18 ZHU Charlie 100% 99% 79% 38% 9% 1%
19 ZHOU James Y. 100% 83% 43% 10% 1% -
20 KLEBS Robert 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
21 RIESTERER Jacob 100% 24% 2% - - -
22 OJE Chuku 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
23 FARIDI Imran 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
24 CONN Jackson 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
25 MCCLUNG Gavin 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
26 SEWARD Darian 100% 87% 40% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.