Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div II Men's Saber

Friday, March 11, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
2 MURZYN III Cj 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 19%
3 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
3 ZHOU James Y. 100% 98% 83% 47% 12% 1%
5 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
6 ZHU Charlie 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
7 STEVENS Jeffrey 100% 97% 75% 37% 9% 1%
8 KLEBS Robert 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 2%
9 FISIC Vasilije 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
10 PAN Alex 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
11 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
12 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
13 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
14 AKS Ari 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 1%
15 LUHMAN Gabriel 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
16 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
17 RICHER Tyler 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
18 SEWARD Darian 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
19 CONN Jackson 100% 91% 52% 15% 2% -
19 OJE Chuku 100% 100% 87% 52% 17% 2%
21 KROGGEL Travis 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
22 RIESTERER Jacob 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% - -
23 BURGESS-LINDEN Ian 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
24 PASZEK Elijah 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
25 SAWYER Edward 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
26 KILGORE Robert 100% 97% 73% 34% 7% 1%
27 SOCHA Daniel 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
28 BLAKE Jason 100% 95% 59% 16% 2% -
29 TANGEL Philip A. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
30 SWIFT Rhys 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
31 FARIDI Imran 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
32 DEPERO Andrew 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
33 STANISLAV Charles 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
34 JAMES Evan 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
35 KANUK Jacob 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
36 SINGER Eric 100% 94% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
37 BECK William 100% 28% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.